2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Nebraska (CD2) [1 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-10-23 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-03 04:19 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-23 12:00

North Star w/4P

40.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 4.0%

2016-10-22
2016-10-24

2016-10-26
2016-11-03 04:19

2016-09-26 12:00

Emerson

40.0%

49.0%

Trump
by 9.0%

2016-09-25
2016-09-27

2016-09-28
2016-09-29 17:55

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

45.7%

52.9%

REP
by 7.2%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:44

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

50.0%

48.8%

DEM
by 1.2%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:22

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

38.5%

60.2%

REP
by 21.7%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:46

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

38.5%

56.9%

REP
by 18.4%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:15

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

38.0%

52.5%

REP
by 14.5%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 15:58

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

32.3%

47.3%

REP
by 15.0%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:14

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988(Est)

41.9%

57.5%

REP
by 15.6%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:04

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984(Est)

32.9%

66.5%

REP
by 33.6%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-22 04:12

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

30.0%

60.9%

REP
by 30.9%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 18:40

 

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

 

Like Election Graphs on Facebook, follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter, or read the Election 2016 blog posts for commentary and analysis when there are significant changes to this data.

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If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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