2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Nebraska (All) [2 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 10:31 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:

Best Polled:

Democrat:

Republican:

State:

History Shown in Graph:

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

Poll Average

Clinton		Trump

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-11-04 12:00	Google w/3P	30.3%	41.4%	Trump by 11.0%	2016-11-01 2016-11-07	2016-11-08 2016-11-08 10:31
2016-11-03 00:00	CVoter	37.6%	55.9%	Trump by 18.3%	2016-10-30 2016-11-06	2016-11-07 2016-11-08 07:05
2016-11-01 12:00	SurveyMonkey EM w/3P	34.0%	52.0%	Trump by 18.0%	2016-10-29 2016-11-04	2016-11-05 2016-11-05 21:08
2016-10-30 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	34.9%	55.7%	Trump by 20.8%	2016-10-23 2016-11-05	2016-11-06 2016-11-07 17:23
2016-10-28 12:00	Google w/3P	27.4%	41.5%	Trump by 14.2%	2016-10-25 2016-10-31	2016-11-01 2016-11-02 20:03

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-10-26 12:00	CVoter	37.9%	58.4%	Trump by 20.5%	2016-10-23 2016-10-29	2016-10-31 2016-11-03 00:11
2016-10-24 12:00	Ipsos	31.4%	53.1%	Trump by 21.8%	2016-10-14 2016-11-03	2016-11-04 2016-11-06 00:31
2016-10-24 12:00	SurveyMonkey EM w/3P	32.0%	53.0%	Trump by 21.0%	2016-10-20 2016-10-28	2016-10-28 2016-10-29 15:57
2016-10-23 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	34.8%	55.7%	Trump by 20.9%	2016-10-16 2016-10-29	2016-10-30 2016-10-31 00:28
2016-10-22 12:00	Google w/3P	25.4%	46.9%	Trump by 21.4%	2016-10-20 2016-10-24	2016-10-25 2016-10-30 15:52
2016-10-21 00:00	CCES w/4P	32.3%	44.9%	Trump by 12.6%	2016-10-04 2016-11-06	2016-11-07 2016-11-08 03:08
2016-10-20 00:00	CVoter	38.2%	57.9%	Trump by 19.7%	2016-10-16 2016-10-23	2016-10-24 2016-10-29 21:12
2016-10-17 12:00	Ipsos	35.5%	50.0%	Trump by 14.5%	2016-10-07 2016-10-27	2016-10-28 2016-10-31 04:34
2016-10-17 12:00	Google w/3P	31.7%	38.7%	Trump by 7.0%	2016-10-15 2016-10-19	2016-10-20 2016-10-23 15:50
2016-10-16 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	34.1%	54.6%	Trump by 20.5%	2016-10-09 2016-10-22	2016-10-23 2016-10-25 22:05
2016-10-13 00:00	CVoter	38.7%	57.2%	Trump by 18.5%	2016-10-09 2016-10-16	2016-10-17 2016-10-19 10:00
2016-10-12 12:00	Google w/3P	27.8%	40.8%	Trump by 12.9%	2016-10-10 2016-10-14	2016-10-15 2016-10-19 06:04
2016-10-10 12:00	Ipsos	34.7%	46.8%	Trump by 12.1%	2016-09-30 2016-10-20	2016-10-22 2016-10-23 03:39
2016-10-09 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	36.5%	52.4%	Trump by 15.9%	2016-10-02 2016-10-15	2016-10-16 2016-10-25 16:50
2016-10-07 00:00	Google w/3P	26.9%	39.1%	Trump by 12.2%	2016-10-04 2016-10-09	2016-10-10 2016-10-11 15:58
2016-10-06 00:00	CVoter	38.5%	56.7%	Trump by 18.2%	2016-10-02 2016-10-09	2016-10-10 2016-10-12 22:32
2016-10-03 12:00	Ipsos	33.3%	48.6%	Trump by 15.2%	2016-09-23 2016-10-13	2016-10-15 2016-10-16 02:29
2016-10-02 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	37.9%	51.8%	Trump by 13.9%	2016-09-25 2016-10-08	2016-10-09 2016-10-25 01:20
2016-09-30 12:00	Google w/3P	31.9%	36.6%	Trump by 4.7%	2016-09-27 2016-10-03	2016-10-04 2016-10-07 04:30
2016-09-26 12:00	Ipsos	31.8%	47.6%	Trump by 15.8%	2016-09-16 2016-10-06	2016-10-10 2016-10-12 06:42
2016-09-26 12:00	Emerson w/4P	29.3%	55.7%	Trump by 26.4%	2016-09-25 2016-09-27	2016-09-28 2016-09-29 17:44
2016-09-26 00:00	CVoter	36.9%	59.3%	Trump by 22.4%	2016-09-19 2016-10-02	2016-10-03 2016-10-04 19:27
2016-09-25 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	36.3%	53.3%	Trump by 17.0%	2016-09-18 2016-10-01	2016-10-02 2016-10-24 17:25
2016-09-24 00:00	Google w/3P	29.0%	38.1%	Trump by 9.0%	2016-09-21 2016-09-26	2016-09-27 2016-09-29 23:36
2016-09-19 12:00	Ipsos	32.7%	51.2%	Trump by 18.5%	2016-09-09 2016-09-29	2016-10-03 2016-10-05 19:39
2016-09-19 00:00	CVoter	36.9%	58.6%	Trump by 21.7%	2016-09-12 2016-09-25	2016-09-26 2016-09-28 15:09
2016-09-17 12:00	Google w/3P	29.1%	41.7%	Trump by 12.5%	2016-09-14 2016-09-20	2016-09-21 2016-09-24 19:24
2016-09-12 12:00	Ipsos	30.9%	54.5%	Trump by 23.5%	2016-09-02 2016-09-22	2016-09-26 2016-09-28 23:48
2016-09-10 12:00	Google w/3P	23.7%	45.8%	Trump by 22.1%	2016-09-07 2016-09-13	2016-09-14 2016-09-18 16:33
2016-09-05 12:00	Ipsos	31.7%	51.2%	Trump by 19.5%	2016-08-26 2016-09-15	2016-09-16 2016-09-17 23:44
2016-09-03 12:00	Google w/3P	27.4%	40.9%	Trump by 13.5%	2016-08-31 2016-09-06	2016-09-07 2016-09-11 20:24
2016-08-29 12:00	Ipsos	27.7%	55.6%	Trump by 27.9%	2016-08-19 2016-09-08	2016-09-09 2016-09-12 02:14
2016-08-27 12:00	Google w/3P	28.7%	34.4%	Trump by 5.7%	2016-08-24 2016-08-30	2016-08-31 2016-09-11 20:22
2016-08-22 12:00	Ipsos	37.8%	44.7%	Trump by 6.8%	2016-08-12 2016-09-01	2016-09-02 2016-09-04 07:23
2016-08-21 00:00	WaPo w/4P [2]	32.0%	42.0%	Trump by 10.0%	2016-08-09 2016-09-01	2016-09-06 2016-09-07 06:02
2016-08-21 00:00	WaPo [2]	38.0%	49.0%	Trump by 11.0%	2016-08-09 2016-09-01	2016-09-06 2016-09-07 06:00
2016-08-20 12:00	Google w/3P	24.5%	38.3%	Trump by 13.8%	2016-08-17 2016-08-23	2016-08-24 2016-09-11 20:20
2016-08-16 12:00	Morning Consult w/4P [2]	29.2%	40.8%	Trump by 11.6%	2016-08-01 2016-08-31	2016-09-08 2016-09-14 14:51
2016-08-16 12:00	Morning Consult [2]	35.1%	44.7%	Trump by 9.6%	2016-08-01 2016-08-31	2016-09-08 2016-09-14 14:49
2016-08-15 12:00	Ipsos	45.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 3.0%	2016-08-05 2016-08-25	2016-08-26 2016-08-28 03:51
2016-08-13 12:00	Google w/3P	32.7%	30.2%	Clinton by 2.6%	2016-08-10 2016-08-16	2016-08-17 2016-09-11 20:11
2016-08-08 12:00	Ipsos	35.0%	49.0%	Trump by 14.0%	2016-07-29 2016-08-18	2016-08-19 2016-08-28 03:54
2016-05-16 12:00	Morning Consult	35.3%	47.7%	Trump by 12.4%	2016-04-01 2016-06-30	2016-07-14 2016-07-25 22:50
2016-02-19 00:00	Morning Consult	35.3%	48.4%	Trump by 13.1%	2016-01-01 2016-04-07	2016-04-13 2016-07-23 20:20
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	38.0%	59.8%	REP by 21.8%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-22 02:42
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	41.6%	56.5%	REP by 14.9%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-09-30 03:20
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	32.7%	65.9%	REP by 33.2%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-14 06:31
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	33.3%	62.3%	REP by 29.0%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-10 10:02
1996-11-06 12:00	Election1996	35.0%	53.7%	REP by 18.7%	1996-11-06 1996-11-06	1996-11-06 2014-02-16 15:42
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	29.4%	46.6%	REP by 17.2%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 03:36
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	39.2%	60.2%	REP by 21.0%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 12:39
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	28.8%	70.6%	REP by 41.7%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-22 03:53
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	26.0%	65.5%	REP by 39.5%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 18:27

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

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2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

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