2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Mississippi [6 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 10:18 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:

Best Polled:

Democrat:

Republican:

State:

History Shown in Graph:

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

Poll Average

Clinton		Trump

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-11-04 12:00	Google w/3P	25.0%	52.3%	Trump by 27.3%	2016-11-01 2016-11-07	2016-11-08 2016-11-08 10:18
2016-11-03 00:00	CVoter	42.0%	53.9%	Trump by 11.9%	2016-10-30 2016-11-06	2016-11-07 2016-11-08 06:58
2016-11-01 12:00	SurveyMonkey EM w/3P	40.0%	50.0%	Trump by 10.0%	2016-10-29 2016-11-04	2016-11-05 2016-11-05 21:12
2016-10-30 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	45.3%	48.8%	Trump by 3.5%	2016-10-23 2016-11-05	2016-11-06 2016-11-07 17:14
2016-10-28 12:00	Google w/3P	25.8%	55.4%	Trump by 29.5%	2016-10-25 2016-10-31	2016-11-01 2016-11-02 19:53

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-10-26 12:00	CVoter	41.7%	54.6%	Trump by 12.9%	2016-10-23 2016-10-29	2016-10-31 2016-11-03 00:04
2016-10-24 12:00	Ipsos	34.2%	53.6%	Trump by 19.3%	2016-10-14 2016-11-03	2016-11-04 2016-11-06 00:15
2016-10-24 12:00	SurveyMonkey EM w/3P	42.0%	49.0%	Trump by 7.0%	2016-10-20 2016-10-28	2016-10-28 2016-10-29 15:38
2016-10-23 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	44.2%	49.3%	Trump by 5.1%	2016-10-16 2016-10-29	2016-10-30 2016-10-31 00:07
2016-10-22 12:00	Google w/3P	32.5%	46.5%	Trump by 14.1%	2016-10-20 2016-10-24	2016-10-25 2016-10-30 15:41
2016-10-21 00:00	CCES w/4P	39.5%	45.5%	Trump by 6.0%	2016-10-04 2016-11-06	2016-11-07 2016-11-08 03:02
2016-10-20 00:00	CVoter	42.0%	54.2%	Trump by 12.2%	2016-10-16 2016-10-23	2016-10-24 2016-10-29 21:04
2016-10-17 12:00	Ipsos	33.2%	51.8%	Trump by 18.6%	2016-10-07 2016-10-27	2016-10-28 2016-10-31 04:26
2016-10-17 12:00	Google w/3P	31.1%	45.0%	Trump by 13.9%	2016-10-15 2016-10-19	2016-10-20 2016-10-23 15:37
2016-10-16 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	44.9%	48.1%	Trump by 3.2%	2016-10-09 2016-10-22	2016-10-23 2016-10-25 21:22
2016-10-13 00:00	CVoter	41.9%	53.9%	Trump by 12.0%	2016-10-09 2016-10-16	2016-10-17 2016-10-19 09:53
2016-10-12 12:00	Google w/3P	22.0%	53.3%	Trump by 31.3%	2016-10-10 2016-10-14	2016-10-15 2016-10-19 05:56
2016-10-10 12:00	Ipsos	37.3%	52.1%	Trump by 14.8%	2016-09-30 2016-10-20	2016-10-22 2016-10-23 03:31
2016-10-09 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	45.4%	47.7%	Trump by 2.3%	2016-10-02 2016-10-15	2016-10-16 2016-10-25 16:44
2016-10-07 00:00	Google w/3P	23.9%	50.7%	Trump by 26.8%	2016-10-04 2016-10-09	2016-10-10 2016-10-11 15:48
2016-10-06 00:00	CVoter	41.7%	53.5%	Trump by 11.8%	2016-10-02 2016-10-09	2016-10-10 2016-10-12 22:24
2016-10-03 12:00	Ipsos	41.2%	48.6%	Trump by 7.4%	2016-09-23 2016-10-13	2016-10-15 2016-10-16 02:21
2016-10-02 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	44.9%	49.0%	Trump by 4.1%	2016-09-25 2016-10-08	2016-10-09 2016-10-25 01:09
2016-09-30 12:00	Google w/3P	24.3%	46.0%	Trump by 21.7%	2016-09-27 2016-10-03	2016-10-04 2016-10-06 22:48
2016-09-26 12:00	Ipsos	40.0%	51.1%	Trump by 11.1%	2016-09-16 2016-10-06	2016-10-10 2016-10-12 06:34
2016-09-26 00:00	CVoter	39.7%	56.5%	Trump by 16.8%	2016-09-19 2016-10-02	2016-10-03 2016-10-04 18:53
2016-09-25 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	43.4%	50.5%	Trump by 7.1%	2016-09-18 2016-10-01	2016-10-02 2016-10-24 17:18
2016-09-24 00:00	Google w/3P	25.5%	52.3%	Trump by 26.8%	2016-09-21 2016-09-26	2016-09-27 2016-09-29 22:49
2016-09-19 12:00	Ipsos	38.2%	49.2%	Trump by 11.0%	2016-09-09 2016-09-29	2016-10-03 2016-10-05 19:28
2016-09-19 00:00	CVoter	40.6%	55.0%	Trump by 14.4%	2016-09-12 2016-09-25	2016-09-26 2016-09-28 14:57
2016-09-17 12:00	Google w/3P	17.1%	54.8%	Trump by 37.7%	2016-09-14 2016-09-20	2016-09-21 2016-09-24 17:39
2016-09-12 12:00	Ipsos	37.6%	49.9%	Trump by 12.4%	2016-09-02 2016-09-22	2016-09-26 2016-09-28 23:39
2016-09-10 12:00	Google w/3P	20.3%	56.6%	Trump by 36.3%	2016-09-07 2016-09-13	2016-09-14 2016-09-18 18:17
2016-09-05 12:00	Ipsos	37.2%	51.1%	Trump by 13.9%	2016-08-26 2016-09-15	2016-09-16 2016-09-17 23:39
2016-09-03 12:00	Google w/3P	27.0%	53.1%	Trump by 26.2%	2016-08-31 2016-09-06	2016-09-07 2016-09-11 21:53
2016-08-29 12:00	Ipsos	35.3%	58.2%	Trump by 23.0%	2016-08-19 2016-09-08	2016-09-09 2016-09-12 02:03
2016-08-27 12:00	Google w/3P	25.2%	48.0%	Trump by 22.7%	2016-08-24 2016-08-30	2016-08-31 2016-09-11 21:51
2016-08-22 12:00	Ipsos	30.3%	58.5%	Trump by 28.2%	2016-08-12 2016-09-01	2016-09-02 2016-09-04 07:48
2016-08-21 00:00	WaPo w/4P [2]	43.0%	46.0%	Trump by 3.0%	2016-08-09 2016-09-01	2016-09-06 2016-09-07 03:52
2016-08-21 00:00	WaPo [2]	46.0%	48.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2016-08-09 2016-09-01	2016-09-06 2016-09-07 03:50
2016-08-20 12:00	Google w/3P	23.1%	53.5%	Trump by 30.5%	2016-08-17 2016-08-23	2016-08-24 2016-09-11 21:50
2016-08-16 12:00	Morning Consult w/4P [2]	31.8%	44.2%	Trump by 12.4%	2016-08-01 2016-08-31	2016-09-08 2016-09-14 14:36
2016-08-16 12:00	Morning Consult [2]	34.3%	49.1%	Trump by 14.8%	2016-08-01 2016-08-31	2016-09-08 2016-09-14 14:35
2016-08-15 12:00	Ipsos	37.0%	53.0%	Trump by 16.0%	2016-08-05 2016-08-25	2016-08-26 2016-08-27 23:56
2016-08-13 12:00	Google w/3P	17.5%	53.0%	Trump by 35.5%	2016-08-10 2016-08-16	2016-08-17 2016-09-11 21:49
2016-08-11 12:00	Magellan [2]	39.0%	54.0%	Trump by 15.0%	2016-08-11 2016-08-11	2016-08-17 2016-08-18 03:48
2016-08-11 12:00	Magellan w/4P [2]	39.0%	52.0%	Trump by 13.0%	2016-08-11 2016-08-11	2016-08-17 2016-08-18 03:44
2016-08-08 12:00	Ipsos	38.0%	52.0%	Trump by 14.0%	2016-07-29 2016-08-18	2016-08-19 2016-08-27 23:59
2016-05-16 12:00	Morning Consult	33.2%	51.1%	Trump by 17.9%	2016-04-01 2016-06-30	2016-07-14 2016-07-25 22:40
2016-03-29 12:00	Mason-Dixon	43.0%	46.0%	Trump by 3.0%	2016-03-28 2016-03-30	2016-04-05 2016-04-05 15:28
2016-02-19 00:00	Morning Consult	31.9%	54.0%	Trump by 22.1%	2016-01-01 2016-04-07	2016-04-13 2016-07-23 20:03
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	43.8%	55.3%	REP by 11.5%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-22 02:39
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	43.0%	56.2%	REP by 13.2%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-09-30 03:09
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	39.8%	59.5%	REP by 19.7%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-14 06:25
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	40.7%	57.6%	REP by 16.9%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-10 09:56
1996-11-06 12:00	Election1996	44.1%	49.2%	REP by 5.1%	1996-11-06 1996-11-06	1996-11-06 2014-02-16 15:39
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	40.8%	49.7%	REP by 8.9%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 03:30
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	39.1%	59.9%	REP by 20.8%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 12:26
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	37.5%	61.9%	REP by 24.4%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-22 03:48
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	48.1%	49.4%	REP by 1.3%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 18:01

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

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