2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Michigan [16 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-06 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 11:51 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-06 12:00

Mitchell [2]

51.0%

45.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-11-06
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 11:51

2016-11-06 12:00

Mitchell w/4P [2]

47.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-11-06
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 11:48

2016-11-06 12:00

Trafalgar w/4P

46.8%

48.5%

Trump
by 1.7%

2016-11-06
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 00:38

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

35.2%

34.1%

Clinton
by 1.1%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 10:10

2016-11-04 00:00

PPP [2]

50.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-11-03
2016-11-04

2016-11-04
2016-11-04 20:26

2016-11-04 00:00

PPP w/4P [2]

46.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-11-03
2016-11-04

2016-11-04
2016-11-04 20:24

2016-11-03 12:00

Mitchell [2]

49.7%

44.9%

Clinton
by 4.8%

2016-11-03
2016-11-03

2016-11-06
2016-11-06 23:57

2016-11-03 12:00

Mitchell w/4P [2]

46.4%

41.4%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-11-03
2016-11-03

2016-11-06
2016-11-06 23:55

2016-11-03 12:00

Strategic National w/4P

44.0%

44.0%

TIED

2016-11-03
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-06 03:07

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

48.9%

45.0%

Clinton
by 3.9%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 06:52

2016-11-03 00:00

Gravis w/4P

46.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-11-01
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-08 02:01

2016-11-02 12:00

EPIC-MRA w/4P

42.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-11-01
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-05 01:36

2016-11-02 12:00

Mitchell [2]

50.8%

46.3%

Clinton
by 4.5%

2016-11-02
2016-11-02

2016-11-03
2016-11-04 21:55

2016-11-02 12:00

Mitchell w/4P [2]

47.4%

43.7%

Clinton
by 3.7%

2016-11-02
2016-11-02

2016-11-03
2016-11-04 21:54

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

44.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 19:14

2016-11-01 12:00

Mitchell [2]

49.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-11-01
2016-11-01

2016-11-02
2016-11-03 06:39

2016-11-01 12:00

Mitchell w/4P [2]

46.7%

43.5%

Clinton
by 3.2%

2016-11-01
2016-11-01

2016-11-02
2016-11-03 06:37

2016-10-31 12:00

Ipsos

43.3%

43.1%

Clinton
by 0.2%

2016-10-28
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-06 00:10

2016-10-31 12:00

Mitchell [2]

51.0%

45.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-10-31
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 02:57

2016-10-31 12:00

Mitchell w/4P [2]

50.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-10-31
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 02:54

2016-10-30 12:00

Mitchell [2]

50.5%

42.0%

Clinton
by 8.5%

2016-10-30
2016-10-30

2016-10-31
2016-11-01 23:45

2016-10-30 12:00

Mitchell w/4P [2]

47.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-10-30
2016-10-30

2016-10-31
2016-11-01 23:43

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

49.5%

42.8%

Clinton
by 6.7%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 17:07

2016-10-30 00:00

Strategic National w/4P

45.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2016-10-29
2016-10-30

2016-11-02
2016-11-04 01:19

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

37.5%

34.9%

Clinton
by 2.6%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 19:46

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

50.8%

45.5%

Clinton
by 5.3%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-02 23:59

2016-10-26 00:00

Emerson w/4P

49.7%

42.6%

Clinton
by 7.1%

2016-10-25
2016-10-26

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 08:05

2016-10-25 12:00

Mitchell [2]

50.4%

43.7%

Clinton
by 6.7%

2016-10-25
2016-10-25

2016-10-26
2016-10-30 03:00

2016-10-25 12:00

Mitchell w/4P [2]

47.7%

42.0%

Clinton
by 5.7%

2016-10-25
2016-10-25

2016-10-26
2016-10-30 02:57

2016-10-24 12:00

Ipsos

41.3%

37.1%

Clinton
by 4.2%

2016-10-21
2016-10-27

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 04:21

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

44.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 15:30

2016-10-23 12:00

EPIC-MRA w/4P [2]

41.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-10-22
2016-10-24

2016-10-27
2016-10-30 02:46

2016-10-23 12:00

EPIC-MRA [2]

45.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-10-22
2016-10-24

2016-10-27
2016-10-30 02:44

2016-10-23 12:00

Mitchell [2]

50.7%

42.7%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-10-23
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-27 14:35

2016-10-23 12:00

Mitchell w/4P [2]

49.2%

41.3%

Clinton
by 7.9%

2016-10-23
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-27 14:33

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

49.1%

43.0%

Clinton
by 6.1%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-31 00:01

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

38.9%

32.4%

Clinton
by 6.5%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 15:34

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

42.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 02:58

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

51.3%

45.0%

Clinton
by 6.3%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-29 20:58

2016-10-18 12:00

Mitchell [2]

53.0%

40.8%

Clinton
by 12.2%

2016-10-18
2016-10-18

2016-10-19
2016-10-22 04:45

2016-10-18 12:00

Mitchell w/4P [2]

50.9%

37.9%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2016-10-18
2016-10-18

2016-10-19
2016-10-22 04:43

2016-10-18 00:00

MRG w/4P

41.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-10-16
2016-10-19

2016-10-21
2016-10-22 16:14

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

37.4%

28.5%

Clinton
by 8.9%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 15:29

2016-10-17 12:00

Ipsos

45.2%

40.8%

Clinton
by 4.4%

2016-10-14
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-23 03:26

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

49.3%

42.4%

Clinton
by 6.9%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 21:17

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

51.7%

44.3%

Clinton
by 7.4%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 09:47

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

33.6%

33.6%

Trump
by 0.0%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 04:54

2016-10-12 12:00

SurveyMonkey w/4P [2]

45.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-10-08
2016-10-16

2016-10-18
2016-10-18 21:55

2016-10-12 12:00

SurveyMonkey [2]

51.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2016-10-08
2016-10-16

2016-10-18
2016-10-18 21:53

2016-10-11 12:00

Mitchell w/4P

47.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-10-11
2016-10-11

2016-10-12
2016-10-15 06:42

2016-10-11 00:00

Detroit News [2]

47.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2016-10-10
2016-10-11

2016-10-12
2016-10-13 06:17

2016-10-11 00:00

Detroit News w/4P [2]

42.2%

30.6%

Clinton
by 11.6%

2016-10-10
2016-10-11

2016-10-12
2016-10-13 06:13

2016-10-10 12:00

Ipsos

43.8%

37.3%

Clinton
by 6.5%

2016-10-07
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 02:16

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

48.6%

41.9%

Clinton
by 6.7%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 16:38

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

39.8%

29.0%

Clinton
by 10.8%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 08:00

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

51.5%

44.0%

Clinton
by 7.5%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 20:25

2016-10-03 12:00

Ipsos

44.8%

38.2%

Clinton
by 6.6%

2016-09-30
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 05:14

2016-10-02 12:00

EPIC-MRA w/4P [2]

43.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-10-01
2016-10-03

2016-10-06
2016-10-09 03:13

2016-10-02 12:00

EPIC-MRA [2]

46.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-10-01
2016-10-03

2016-10-06
2016-10-09 03:11

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

49.1%

42.1%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-25 01:03

2016-10-01 00:00

MSU CV w/4P [4]

50.0%

28.0%

Clinton
by 22.0%

2016-09-01
2016-10-30

2016-11-02
2016-11-04 02:22

2016-10-01 00:00

MSU CV [4]

54.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 22.0%

2016-09-01
2016-10-30

2016-11-02
2016-11-04 02:20

2016-10-01 00:00

MSU LV w/4P [4]

47.0%

28.0%

Clinton
by 19.0%

2016-09-01
2016-10-30

2016-11-02
2016-11-04 02:19

2016-10-01 00:00

MSU LV [4]

52.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 20.0%

2016-09-01
2016-10-30

2016-11-02
2016-11-04 02:17

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

37.6%

30.9%

Clinton
by 6.8%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-06 17:57

2016-09-28 00:00

Detroit News [2]

46.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-09-27
2016-09-28

2016-09-30
2016-10-01 17:52

2016-09-28 00:00

Detroit News w/4P [2]

42.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-09-27
2016-09-28

2016-09-30
2016-10-01 01:19

2016-09-27 12:00

Mitchell w/4P [2]

45.8%

41.2%

Clinton
by 4.6%

2016-09-27
2016-09-27

2016-09-28
2016-09-30 04:58

2016-09-27 12:00

Mitchell [2]

48.6%

43.6%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-09-27
2016-09-27

2016-09-28
2016-09-30 04:56

2016-09-26 12:00

Ipsos

39.4%

39.0%

Clinton
by 0.3%

2016-09-23
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-05 16:12

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

49.8%

46.3%

Clinton
by 3.5%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-04 16:46

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

48.4%

43.5%

Clinton
by 4.9%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 17:14

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

37.3%

29.9%

Clinton
by 7.4%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-29 22:40

2016-09-21 12:00

MIRS-GCSI w/4P

46.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-09-18
2016-09-24

2016-09-26
2016-10-01 01:57

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

49.9%

45.5%

Clinton
by 4.4%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 14:52

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

34.9%

33.6%

Clinton
by 1.3%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-24 16:56

2016-09-16 00:00

Ipsos

43.0%

41.7%

Clinton
by 1.3%

2016-09-09
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 23:33

2016-09-12 00:00

EPIC-MRA [2]

42.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-09-10
2016-09-13

2016-09-16
2016-09-17 03:48

2016-09-12 00:00

EPIC-MRA w/4P [2]

38.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-09-10
2016-09-13

2016-09-16
2016-09-17 03:45

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

34.6%

31.1%

Clinton
by 3.6%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 18:41

2016-09-09 00:00

Ipsos

43.6%

43.8%

Trump
by 0.2%

2016-09-02
2016-09-15

2016-09-16
2016-09-17 23:33

2016-09-07 00:00

Mitchell w/4P [2]

45.3%

39.0%

Clinton
by 6.3%

2016-09-06
2016-09-07

2016-09-09
2016-09-17 15:56

2016-09-07 00:00

Mitchell [2]

46.5%

41.5%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-09-06
2016-09-07

2016-09-09
2016-09-17 15:52

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

35.2%

29.2%

Clinton
by 5.9%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-10 16:14

2016-09-02 00:00

Ipsos

42.7%

41.3%

Clinton
by 1.4%

2016-08-26
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-12 01:58

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

34.7%

30.1%

Clinton
by 4.6%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-10 16:12

2016-08-27 00:00

Emerson w/4P

44.9%

39.5%

Clinton
by 5.4%

2016-08-25
2016-08-28

2016-08-29
2016-09-01 18:49

2016-08-26 00:00

Ipsos

41.5%

42.5%

Trump
by 1.0%

2016-08-19
2016-09-01

2016-09-02
2016-09-04 06:51

2016-08-23 12:00

Suffolk w/4P

43.6%

37.2%

Clinton
by 6.4%

2016-08-22
2016-08-24

2016-08-25
2016-08-26 04:23

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

39.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 03:40

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

46.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 03:38

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

33.3%

33.0%

Clinton
by 0.3%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-10 16:11

2016-08-19 00:00

Ipsos

43.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 1.0%

2016-08-12
2016-08-25

2016-08-26
2016-08-27 23:28

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

38.8%

32.4%

Clinton
by 6.4%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 14:26

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

43.0%

36.8%

Clinton
by 6.2%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 14:24

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

37.1%

29.0%

Clinton
by 8.1%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-10 16:06

2016-08-12 00:00

Ipsos

44.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2016-08-05
2016-08-18

2016-08-19
2016-08-27 23:31

2016-08-10 00:00

Mitchell [2]

49.4%

38.5%

Clinton
by 10.9%

2016-08-09
2016-08-10

2016-08-16
2016-08-18 04:55

2016-08-10 00:00

Mitchell w/4P [2]

43.6%

33.8%

Clinton
by 9.8%

2016-08-09
2016-08-10

2016-08-16
2016-08-17 07:39

2016-08-02 00:00

EPIC-MRA w/4P [2]

43.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-07-30
2016-08-04

2016-08-05
2016-08-06 08:13

2016-08-02 00:00

EPIC-MRA [2]

46.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-07-30
2016-08-04

2016-08-05
2016-08-06 08:10

2016-07-31 12:00

Detroit News w/4P [2]

41.0%

31.6%

Clinton
by 9.4%

2016-07-30
2016-08-01

2016-08-03
2016-08-04 18:55

2016-07-31 12:00

Detroit News [2]

43.4%

36.5%

Clinton
by 6.9%

2016-07-30
2016-08-01

2016-08-03
2016-08-04 18:45

2016-07-14 12:00

YouGov w/4P

42.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-07-13
2016-07-15

2016-07-17
2016-07-17 15:47

2016-07-13 12:00

MRG w/4P

34.0%

29.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-07-11
2016-07-15

2016-07-18
2016-07-19 03:49

2016-07-08 12:00

Mitchell

40.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-07-05
2016-07-11

2016-07-22
2016-07-26 16:26

2016-07-08 00:00

Gravis w/4P [2]

37.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-07-07
2016-07-08

2016-07-14
2016-07-14 06:52

2016-07-08 00:00

Gravis [2]

48.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-07-07
2016-07-08

2016-07-14
2016-07-14 06:49

2016-06-16 12:00

Ballotpedia w/3P [2]

47.0%

30.0%

Clinton
by 17.0%

2016-06-10
2016-06-22

2016-06-29
2016-06-29 17:14

2016-06-16 12:00

Ballotpedia [2]

50.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 17.0%

2016-06-10
2016-06-22

2016-06-29
2016-06-29 15:10

2016-06-16 00:00

Democracy Corp [2]

50.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-06-11
2016-06-20

2016-06-30
2016-07-10 17:53

2016-06-16 00:00

Democracy Corp w/3P [2]

48.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 15.0%

2016-06-11
2016-06-20

2016-06-30
2016-07-01 06:41

2016-05-25 12:00

Detroit News w/3P [2]

36.8%

32.7%

Clinton
by 4.1%

2016-05-24
2016-05-26

2016-06-01
2016-06-01 14:36

2016-05-25 12:00

Detroit News [2]

43.0%

38.5%

Clinton
by 4.5%

2016-05-24
2016-05-26

2016-06-01
2016-06-01 14:24

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

41.9%

39.3%

Clinton
by 2.6%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 22:29

2016-03-24 00:00

SurveyUSA

49.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-03-23
2016-03-24

2016-03-25
2016-03-26 21:39

2016-03-21 00:00

EPIC-MRA

47.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-03-19
2016-03-22

2016-03-24
2016-03-26 21:31

2016-03-02 12:00

Marist

52.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 16.0%

2016-03-01
2016-03-03

2016-03-06
2016-03-06 17:39

2016-02-25 00:00

MRG

44.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-02-22
2016-02-27

2016-02-29
2016-03-01 13:56

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

42.3%

40.8%

Clinton
by 1.5%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 19:57

2016-01-25 00:00

EPIC-MRA

43.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-01-23
2016-01-26

2016-01-28
2016-01-29 03:56

2015-10-28 12:00

EPIC-MRA

46.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2015-10-25
2015-10-31

2015-11-05
2015-11-06 08:23

2015-09-18 12:00

Mitchell

42.0%

42.0%

TIED

2015-09-18
2015-09-18

2015-09-27
2015-09-30 05:42

2015-09-12 00:00

MRG

43.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2015-09-09
2015-09-14

2015-09-17
2015-09-23 04:04

2015-08-20 12:00

EPIC-MRA

44.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2015-08-18
2015-08-22

2015-08-24
2015-08-25 02:15

2015-08-10 12:00

Mitchell

39.0%

40.0%

Trump
by 1.0%

2015-08-10
2015-08-10

2015-08-20
2015-08-25 02:35

2015-06-27 00:00

PPP

49.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2015-06-25
2015-06-28

2015-06-30
2015-07-05 16:55

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

54.2%

44.7%

DEM
by 9.5%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:37

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

57.4%

41.0%

DEM
by 16.5%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:06

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

51.2%

47.8%

DEM
by 3.4%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:21

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

51.3%

46.2%

DEM
by 5.1%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 09:53

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

51.7%

38.5%

DEM
by 13.2%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 09:35

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

43.8%

36.4%

DEM
by 7.4%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 03:25

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

45.7%

53.6%

REP
by 7.9%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 10:27

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

40.2%

59.2%

REP
by 19.0%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-22 03:42

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

42.5%

49.0%

REP
by 6.5%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:58

 

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

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Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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