2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Maine (CD2) [1 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-10-29 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-01 21:39 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-29 12:00

Emerson w/4P

44.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-10-28
2016-10-30

2016-11-01
2016-11-01 21:39

2016-10-25 12:00

MPRC w/4P [3]

38.0%

41.4%

Trump
by 3.4%

2016-10-24
2016-10-26

2016-11-01
2016-11-01 21:27

2016-10-25 12:00

MPRC w/Lean [3]

43.2%

43.4%

Trump
by 0.2%

2016-10-24
2016-10-26

2016-11-01
2016-11-01 21:25

2016-10-25 12:00

MPRC [3]

37.4%

33.2%

Clinton
by 4.2%

2016-10-24
2016-10-26

2016-11-01
2016-11-01 21:23

2016-10-23 00:00

UNH w/4P

43.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-25

2016-10-30
2016-10-30 20:36

2016-10-15 00:00

MPRC w/4P [3]

38.2%

37.0%

Clinton
by 1.2%

2016-10-14
2016-10-15

2016-10-21
2016-10-22 03:26

2016-10-15 00:00

MPRC w/Lean [3]

46.2%

39.3%

Clinton
by 6.9%

2016-10-14
2016-10-15

2016-10-21
2016-10-21 21:20

2016-10-15 00:00

MPRC [3]

36.2%

29.3%

Clinton
by 6.9%

2016-10-14
2016-10-15

2016-10-21
2016-10-21 21:18

2016-10-11 00:00

Clarity

39.0%

39.0%

TIED

2016-10-10
2016-10-11

2016-10-19
2016-10-23 18:41

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-08 12:00

MPRC w/4P [3]

38.8%

40.4%

Trump
by 1.6%

2016-10-07
2016-10-09

2016-10-12
2016-10-13 07:25

2016-10-08 12:00

MPRC w/Lean [3]

44.4%

45.0%

Trump
by 0.6%

2016-10-07
2016-10-09

2016-10-12
2016-10-13 07:23

2016-10-08 12:00

MPRC [3]

36.6%

32.3%

Clinton
by 4.3%

2016-10-07
2016-10-09

2016-10-12
2016-10-13 07:21

2016-10-03 00:00

Normington Petts

44.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-10-02
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 17:52

2016-09-22 00:00

Normington Petts

40.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 4.0%

2016-09-21
2016-09-22

2016-09-23
2016-10-07 18:05

2016-09-18 00:00

UNH

34.0%

48.0%

Trump
by 14.0%

2016-09-15
2016-09-20

2016-09-25
2016-09-25 21:07

2016-09-16 12:00

MPRC w/4P [3]

33.2%

44.3%

Trump
by 11.1%

2016-09-15
2016-09-17

2016-09-20
2016-09-21 15:31

2016-09-16 12:00

MPRC w/Lean [3]

41.6%

47.0%

Trump
by 5.4%

2016-09-15
2016-09-17

2016-09-20
2016-09-21 15:29

2016-09-16 12:00

MPRC [3]

30.8%

34.1%

Trump
by 3.3%

2016-09-15
2016-09-17

2016-09-20
2016-09-21 15:28

2016-09-07 12:00

Colby w/4P

37.0%

47.0%

Trump
by 10.0%

2016-09-04
2016-09-10

2016-09-13
2016-09-17 16:34

2016-09-04 00:00

Emerson w/4P

36.2%

40.7%

Trump
by 4.5%

2016-09-02
2016-09-05

2016-09-07
2016-09-12 04:44

2016-08-19 00:00

MPRC w/4P

37.8%

33.6%

Clinton
by 4.2%

2016-08-17
2016-08-20

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 01:26

2016-06-18 12:00

PPH/MST

36.0%

37.0%

Trump
by 1.0%

2016-06-15
2016-06-21

2016-06-25
2016-06-27 07:47

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

52.9%

44.4%

DEM
by 8.6%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:34

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

54.6%

43.4%

DEM
by 11.3%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-25 06:03

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

52.0%

46.1%

DEM
by 5.8%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:14

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

47.4%

45.6%

DEM
by 1.9%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 09:46

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

51.2%

29.6%

DEM
by 21.5%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 09:12

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

37.6%

28.9%

DEM
by 8.7%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 02:48

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

44.6%

54.6%

REP
by 10.1%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 10:14

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

37.5%

62.1%

REP
by 24.7%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-21 07:53

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

42.7%

46.3%

REP
by 3.7%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:52

 

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2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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