2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Maine (CD1) [1 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-10-29 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-01 21:40 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:

Best Polled:

Democrat:

Republican:

State:

History Shown in Graph:

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

Poll Average

Clinton		Trump

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-10-29 12:00	Emerson w/4P	49.0%	43.0%	Clinton by 6.0%	2016-10-28 2016-10-30	2016-11-01 2016-11-01 21:40
2016-10-25 12:00	MPRC w/4P [3]	44.9%	33.4%	Clinton by 11.5%	2016-10-24 2016-10-26	2016-11-01 2016-11-01 21:19
2016-10-25 12:00	MPRC w/Lean [3]	51.0%	36.9%	Clinton by 14.1%	2016-10-24 2016-10-26	2016-11-01 2016-11-01 21:03
2016-10-25 12:00	MPRC [3]	44.0%	28.1%	Clinton by 15.9%	2016-10-24 2016-10-26	2016-11-01 2016-11-01 21:00
2016-10-23 00:00	UNH w/4P	54.0%	34.0%	Clinton by 20.0%	2016-10-20 2016-10-25	2016-10-30 2016-10-30 20:33
2016-10-15 00:00	MPRC w/4P [3]	45.5%	35.5%	Clinton by 10.0%	2016-10-14 2016-10-15	2016-10-21 2016-10-21 21:16
2016-10-15 00:00	MPRC w/Lean [3]	51.5%	39.4%	Clinton by 12.1%	2016-10-14 2016-10-15	2016-10-21 2016-10-21 21:14
2016-10-15 00:00	MPRC [3]	45.8%	28.4%	Clinton by 17.4%	2016-10-14 2016-10-15	2016-10-21 2016-10-21 21:12
2016-10-08 12:00	MPRC w/4P [3]	48.7%	32.3%	Clinton by 16.4%	2016-10-07 2016-10-09	2016-10-12 2016-10-13 07:19
2016-10-08 12:00	MPRC w/Lean [3]	52.8%	35.7%	Clinton by 17.1%	2016-10-07 2016-10-09	2016-10-12 2016-10-13 07:17
2016-10-08 12:00	MPRC [3]	43.8%	27.6%	Clinton by 16.2%	2016-10-07 2016-10-09	2016-10-12 2016-10-13 07:15

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-09-18 00:00	UNH	50.0%	28.0%	Clinton by 22.0%	2016-09-15 2016-09-20	2016-09-25 2016-09-25 21:31
2016-09-16 12:00	MPRC w/4P [3]	40.5%	29.8%	Clinton by 10.7%	2016-09-15 2016-09-17	2016-09-20 2016-09-21 15:22
2016-09-16 12:00	MPRC w/Lean [3]	49.0%	33.3%	Clinton by 15.7%	2016-09-15 2016-09-17	2016-09-20 2016-09-21 15:20
2016-09-16 12:00	MPRC [3]	40.6%	24.7%	Clinton by 15.9%	2016-09-15 2016-09-17	2016-09-20 2016-09-21 15:18
2016-09-07 12:00	Colby w/4P	49.0%	31.0%	Clinton by 18.0%	2016-09-04 2016-09-10	2016-09-13 2016-09-17 16:32
2016-09-04 00:00	Emerson w/4P	52.0%	30.1%	Clinton by 21.9%	2016-09-02 2016-09-05	2016-09-07 2016-09-12 04:49
2016-08-19 00:00	MPRC w/4P	45.2%	30.9%	Clinton by 14.3%	2016-08-17 2016-08-20	2016-09-14 2016-09-18 02:12
2016-06-18 12:00	PPH/MST	48.0%	33.0%	Clinton by 15.0%	2016-06-15 2016-06-21	2016-06-25 2016-06-27 07:43
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	59.6%	38.2%	DEM by 21.4%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-22 02:33
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	60.5%	37.7%	DEM by 22.8%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-09-25 06:02
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	55.1%	43.1%	DEM by 11.9%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-14 06:10
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	50.5%	42.6%	DEM by 7.9%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-10 09:42
1996-11-06 12:00	Election1996	52.1%	31.8%	DEM by 20.3%	1996-11-06 1996-11-06	1996-11-06 2014-02-16 09:11
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	39.8%	31.7%	DEM by 8.1%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 02:45
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	43.3%	55.9%	REP by 12.6%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 10:11
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	40.0%	59.7%	REP by 19.7%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-21 07:51
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	42.0%	45.1%	REP by 3.1%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 17:48

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

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If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com

2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

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