2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Maryland [10 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 10:05 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

44.8%

31.3%

Clinton
by 13.5%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 10:05

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

56.3%

37.9%

Clinton
by 18.4%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 06:47

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

61.0%

28.0%

Clinton
by 33.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 20:47

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

59.1%

34.0%

Clinton
by 25.1%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 17:02

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

47.3%

25.2%

Clinton
by 22.2%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 19:41

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-28 00:00

Ipsos

53.3%

35.1%

Clinton
by 18.1%

2016-10-21
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-06 00:05

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

57.7%

38.2%

Clinton
by 19.5%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-02 23:54

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

62.0%

27.0%

Clinton
by 35.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 15:24

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

58.8%

34.3%

Clinton
by 24.5%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-30 23:55

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

48.2%

26.0%

Clinton
by 22.2%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 15:27

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

55.0%

29.2%

Clinton
by 25.8%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 02:53

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

58.1%

37.8%

Clinton
by 20.3%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-29 20:53

2016-10-17 12:00

Ipsos

53.6%

33.6%

Clinton
by 20.1%

2016-10-07
2016-10-27

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 04:16

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

49.1%

25.4%

Clinton
by 23.7%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 15:24

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

59.4%

33.2%

Clinton
by 26.2%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 21:13

2016-10-14 00:00

Ipsos

53.0%

28.6%

Clinton
by 24.4%

2016-10-07
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-23 01:50

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

58.7%

37.1%

Clinton
by 21.6%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 09:43

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

47.5%

25.0%

Clinton
by 22.5%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 04:50

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

59.8%

33.1%

Clinton
by 26.7%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 16:33

2016-10-07 00:00

Ipsos

53.7%

31.6%

Clinton
by 22.2%

2016-09-30
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 02:10

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

48.1%

25.9%

Clinton
by 22.3%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 07:55

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

58.2%

37.2%

Clinton
by 21.0%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 20:21

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

60.2%

33.5%

Clinton
by 26.7%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-25 00:59

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

48.8%

23.1%

Clinton
by 25.7%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-06 17:43

2016-09-30 00:00

Ipsos

53.1%

31.7%

Clinton
by 21.3%

2016-09-23
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 05:07

2016-09-29 00:00

WaPo w/4P

63.0%

27.0%

Clinton
by 36.0%

2016-09-27
2016-09-30

2016-10-07
2016-10-09 05:44

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

57.6%

38.7%

Clinton
by 18.9%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-04 16:42

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

58.1%

34.8%

Clinton
by 23.3%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 17:10

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

40.6%

28.6%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-29 22:16

2016-09-23 00:00

Ipsos

51.8%

32.7%

Clinton
by 19.1%

2016-09-16
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-05 16:07

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

57.6%

37.9%

Clinton
by 19.7%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 14:47

2016-09-19 00:00

Goucher w/4P

58.0%

25.0%

Clinton
by 33.0%

2016-09-17
2016-09-20

2016-09-22
2016-09-23 14:46

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

43.5%

26.9%

Clinton
by 16.6%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-24 16:33

2016-09-16 00:00

Ipsos

50.3%

33.9%

Clinton
by 16.4%

2016-09-09
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 23:28

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

43.8%

26.0%

Clinton
by 17.8%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 15:38

2016-09-09 00:00

Ipsos

53.1%

29.0%

Clinton
by 24.1%

2016-09-02
2016-09-15

2016-09-16
2016-09-17 23:30

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

47.0%

23.6%

Clinton
by 23.4%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-10 17:36

2016-09-02 00:00

Ipsos

53.9%

29.6%

Clinton
by 24.4%

2016-08-26
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-12 01:53

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

45.8%

24.3%

Clinton
by 21.5%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-10 17:34

2016-08-24 12:00

OpinionWorks w/4P

54.0%

25.0%

Clinton
by 29.0%

2016-08-18
2016-08-30

2016-09-05
2016-09-07 16:16

2016-08-22 12:00

Ipsos

52.2%

32.1%

Clinton
by 20.1%

2016-08-12
2016-09-01

2016-09-02
2016-09-04 07:36

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

54.0%

27.0%

Clinton
by 27.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 03:18

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

61.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 30.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 03:16

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

44.2%

25.9%

Clinton
by 18.3%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-10 17:33

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

47.2%

26.3%

Clinton
by 20.9%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 14:05

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

51.7%

28.2%

Clinton
by 23.5%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 14:04

2016-08-15 12:00

Ipsos

53.0%

30.0%

Clinton
by 23.0%

2016-08-05
2016-08-25

2016-08-26
2016-08-28 01:29

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

48.9%

21.3%

Clinton
by 27.6%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-10 17:31

2016-08-08 12:00

Ipsos

53.0%

29.0%

Clinton
by 24.0%

2016-07-29
2016-08-18

2016-08-19
2016-08-28 01:31

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

51.1%

32.8%

Clinton
by 18.3%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 22:24

2016-04-16 12:00

PPP

61.0%

28.0%

Clinton
by 33.0%

2016-04-15
2016-04-17

2016-04-19
2016-04-21 02:07

2016-04-07 12:00

Marist

63.0%

27.0%

Clinton
by 36.0%

2016-04-05
2016-04-09

2016-04-12
2016-04-13 06:47

2016-04-01 12:00

WaPo

63.0%

28.0%

Clinton
by 35.0%

2016-03-30
2016-04-03

2016-04-06
2016-04-08 15:28

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

51.9%

31.5%

Clinton
by 20.4%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 19:52

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

62.0%

35.9%

DEM
by 26.1%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:35

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

61.9%

36.5%

DEM
by 25.5%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:03

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

53.6%

44.6%

DEM
by 9.0%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:17

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

56.6%

40.2%

DEM
by 16.4%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 09:49

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

54.3%

38.3%

DEM
by 16.0%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 09:33

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

49.8%

35.6%

DEM
by 14.2%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 02:58

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

48.2%

51.1%

REP
by 2.9%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 10:19

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

47.0%

52.5%

REP
by 5.5%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-22 03:37

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

47.1%

44.2%

DEM
by 3.0%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:54

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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