2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Indiana [11 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 09:52 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

33.9%

36.5%

Trump
by 2.5%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 09:52

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

43.3%

51.0%

Trump
by 7.7%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 06:32

2016-11-02 12:00

Howey w/3P

37.0%

48.0%

Trump
by 11.0%

2016-11-01
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-05 02:12

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

35.0%

53.0%

Trump
by 18.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 21:03

2016-10-31 12:00

Ipsos

38.0%

52.8%

Trump
by 14.9%

2016-10-28
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-05 23:50

2016-10-31 12:00

Gravis w/3P

39.0%

49.0%

Trump
by 10.0%

2016-10-30
2016-11-01

2016-11-02
2016-11-05 02:19

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

40.0%

50.9%

Trump
by 10.9%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 15:46

2016-10-29 00:00

Monmouth w/3P

39.0%

50.0%

Trump
by 11.0%

2016-10-27
2016-10-30

2016-10-31
2016-11-01 21:46

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

36.5%

33.8%

Clinton
by 2.6%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 19:29

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

42.4%

53.8%

Trump
by 11.4%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-02 23:37

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

36.0%

50.0%

Trump
by 14.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 04:05

2016-10-23 12:00

Gravis w/3P

38.0%

49.0%

Trump
by 11.0%

2016-10-22
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-27 03:56

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

39.4%

51.5%

Trump
by 12.1%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-30 23:39

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

34.1%

34.0%

Clinton
by 0.1%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 15:13

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

36.6%

43.8%

Trump
by 7.2%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 02:41

2016-10-21 00:00

Ipsos

38.9%

53.5%

Trump
by 14.6%

2016-10-14
2016-10-27

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 04:01

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

42.7%

53.4%

Trump
by 10.7%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-29 20:39

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

36.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 2.9%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 15:10

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

39.0%

50.3%

Trump
by 11.3%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 19:43

2016-10-14 00:00

Ipsos

38.4%

49.0%

Trump
by 10.6%

2016-10-07
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-23 01:26

2016-10-13 12:00

Ball State w/3P

37.0%

43.0%

Trump
by 6.0%

2016-10-10
2016-10-16

2016-10-20
2016-10-21 05:49

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

43.1%

52.7%

Trump
by 9.6%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 09:02

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

38.2%

32.7%

Clinton
by 5.5%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 03:31

2016-10-12 12:00

Monmouth w/3P

41.0%

45.0%

Trump
by 4.0%

2016-10-11
2016-10-13

2016-10-14
2016-10-15 03:35

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

39.9%

48.3%

Trump
by 8.4%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 16:21

2016-10-09 00:00

Lucid w/4P

37.0%

43.0%

Trump
by 6.0%

2016-10-07
2016-10-10

2016-10-12
2016-10-15 21:06

2016-10-07 00:00

Ipsos

38.3%

47.1%

Trump
by 8.9%

2016-09-30
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 01:52

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

36.0%

35.1%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 07:07

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

42.8%

52.4%

Trump
by 9.6%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 18:07

2016-10-04 12:00

Howey w/3P

38.0%

43.0%

Trump
by 5.0%

2016-10-03
2016-10-05

2016-10-06
2016-10-09 01:46

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

40.9%

48.5%

Trump
by 7.6%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-25 00:39

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

35.1%

32.5%

Clinton
by 2.6%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-06 16:51

2016-09-30 00:00

Ipsos

37.2%

50.3%

Trump
by 13.1%

2016-09-23
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 03:47

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

40.6%

55.4%

Trump
by 14.8%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-04 05:27

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

39.8%

49.6%

Trump
by 9.8%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 16:57

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

36.1%

33.3%

Clinton
by 2.9%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-29 21:15

2016-09-23 00:00

Ipsos

35.9%

53.2%

Trump
by 17.3%

2016-09-16
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-05 15:49

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

40.9%

54.4%

Trump
by 13.5%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 06:11

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

31.9%

32.3%

Trump
by 0.4%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-24 05:33

2016-09-16 00:00

Ipsos

34.9%

53.5%

Trump
by 18.6%

2016-09-09
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 22:35

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

30.9%

31.5%

Trump
by 0.6%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 15:04

2016-09-09 00:00

Ipsos

33.3%

53.1%

Trump
by 19.8%

2016-09-02
2016-09-15

2016-09-16
2016-09-17 23:17

2016-09-07 12:00

Howey w/3P

36.0%

43.0%

Trump
by 7.0%

2016-09-06
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-10 03:17

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

29.2%

35.6%

Trump
by 6.4%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-11 18:12

2016-09-02 00:00

Ipsos

32.1%

55.9%

Trump
by 23.9%

2016-08-26
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-12 01:38

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

34.6%

30.5%

Clinton
by 4.1%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-11 18:10

2016-08-26 00:00

Ipsos

32.1%

55.7%

Trump
by 23.6%

2016-08-19
2016-09-01

2016-09-02
2016-09-04 05:59

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

30.0%

46.0%

Trump
by 16.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 02:45

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

37.0%

52.0%

Trump
by 15.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 02:43

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

31.8%

36.0%

Trump
by 4.2%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-11 18:08

2016-08-19 00:00

Ipsos

34.0%

55.0%

Trump
by 21.0%

2016-08-12
2016-08-25

2016-08-26
2016-08-27 19:49

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

30.9%

41.4%

Trump
by 10.5%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 13:47

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

34.2%

46.0%

Trump
by 11.8%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 13:45

2016-08-15 00:00

Monmouth w/3P

36.0%

47.0%

Trump
by 11.0%

2016-08-13
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-08-18 03:37

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

31.6%

35.7%

Trump
by 4.1%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-11 18:06

2016-08-12 00:00

Ipsos

36.0%

54.0%

Trump
by 18.0%

2016-08-05
2016-08-18

2016-08-19
2016-08-27 19:50

2016-08-10 12:00

Internal Gregg

44.0%

44.0%

TIED

2016-08-07
2016-08-13

2016-08-14
2016-08-15 05:33

2016-07-21 00:00

Tarrance

36.0%

50.0%

Trump
by 14.0%

2016-07-20
2016-07-21

2016-07-23
2016-07-29 09:04

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

36.7%

45.0%

Trump
by 8.3%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 22:11

2016-05-13 12:00

Bellwether

31.0%

40.0%

Trump
by 9.0%

2016-05-11
2016-05-15

2016-05-19
2016-05-20 14:58

2016-04-27 12:00

Marist

41.0%

48.0%

Trump
by 7.0%

2016-04-26
2016-04-28

2016-05-01
2016-05-03 13:46

2016-04-20 00:00

Howey

39.0%

47.0%

Trump
by 8.0%

2016-04-18
2016-04-21

2016-04-22
2016-04-25 06:58

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

40.8%

42.4%

Trump
by 1.6%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 17:47

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

43.9%

54.1%

REP
by 10.2%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:27

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

50.0%

48.9%

DEM
by 1.0%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-25 05:30

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

39.3%

60.0%

REP
by 20.7%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 05:45

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

41.0%

56.7%

REP
by 15.6%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-09 06:07

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

41.6%

47.1%

REP
by 5.6%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 08:49

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

36.8%

42.9%

REP
by 6.1%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 02:28

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

39.7%

59.8%

REP
by 20.2%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 08:20

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

37.7%

61.7%

REP
by 24.0%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-21 07:36

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

37.7%

56.0%

REP
by 18.4%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:33

 

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

 

Like Election Graphs on Facebook, follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter, or read the Election 2016 blog posts for commentary and analysis when there are significant changes to this data.

For a feed of all poll updates follow @ElecCollPolls on Twitter. For more discussion of Election 2016 and other topics, listen to the Curmudgeon's Corner podcast.

If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com

 

2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ

 

If you find this site interesting or useful, please consider visiting the Tip Jar.

 

The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

Page cached at 2016-12-25 05:11:31 UTC

Original calculation time was 0.589 seconds

 

Page displayed at 2017-10-21 14:03:47 UTC

Page generated in 0.023 seconds