2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Idaho [4 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 09:47 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

30.4%

34.5%

Trump
by 4.1%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 09:47

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

33.3%

59.7%

Trump
by 26.4%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 06:27

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

30.0%

47.0%

Trump
by 17.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 19:39

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

31.3%

53.6%

Trump
by 22.3%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 15:41

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

21.8%

44.3%

Trump
by 22.4%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 19:21

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

33.6%

60.8%

Trump
by 27.2%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-02 23:05

2016-10-26 12:00

Power (GCS) w/3P

29.0%

41.0%

Trump
by 12.0%

2016-10-25
2016-10-27

2016-10-30
2016-10-31 07:12

2016-10-24 12:00

Ipsos

30.0%

51.7%

Trump
by 21.7%

2016-10-14
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-05 23:45

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

29.0%

48.0%

Trump
by 19.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 03:59

2016-10-24 00:00

Rasmussen w/3P

29.0%

48.0%

Trump
by 19.0%

2016-10-23
2016-10-24

2016-10-27
2016-10-29 02:46

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

32.0%

55.5%

Trump
by 23.5%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-30 23:34

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

27.8%

37.6%

Trump
by 9.8%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 15:09

2016-10-22 12:00

Emerson w/3P

23.3%

52.3%

Trump
by 29.0%

2016-10-21
2016-10-23

2016-10-25
2016-10-27 07:40

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

25.3%

44.8%

Trump
by 19.5%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 02:36

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

35.0%

59.4%

Trump
by 24.4%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-29 19:50

2016-10-17 12:00

Ipsos

30.1%

53.9%

Trump
by 23.8%

2016-10-07
2016-10-27

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 03:56

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

26.6%

38.4%

Trump
by 11.8%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 15:03

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

31.0%

54.7%

Trump
by 23.7%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 19:38

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

34.0%

60.0%

Trump
by 26.0%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 08:58

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

23.4%

33.7%

Trump
by 10.3%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 03:26

2016-10-10 12:00

Ipsos

35.1%

50.7%

Trump
by 15.6%

2016-09-30
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-23 01:03

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

31.0%

54.8%

Trump
by 23.8%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 16:15

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

24.8%

32.9%

Trump
by 8.1%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 07:00

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

33.5%

59.9%

Trump
by 26.4%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 17:55

2016-10-04 00:00

Dan Jones w/4P

30.0%

40.0%

Trump
by 10.0%

2016-09-28
2016-10-09

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 16:49

2016-10-03 12:00

Ipsos

31.3%

54.2%

Trump
by 22.9%

2016-09-23
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 01:47

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

32.1%

55.7%

Trump
by 23.6%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-25 00:31

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

27.2%

42.7%

Trump
by 15.5%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-06 16:45

2016-09-26 12:00

Ipsos

31.0%

55.2%

Trump
by 24.2%

2016-09-16
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 03:41

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

31.9%

62.3%

Trump
by 30.4%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-04 05:21

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

32.0%

57.1%

Trump
by 25.1%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 05:22

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

22.6%

46.5%

Trump
by 23.9%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-29 21:07

2016-09-19 12:00

Ipsos

27.4%

59.6%

Trump
by 32.2%

2016-09-09
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-05 05:31

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

33.0%

60.6%

Trump
by 27.6%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 06:04

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

18.7%

43.5%

Trump
by 24.8%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-24 05:11

2016-09-12 12:00

Ipsos

32.2%

54.9%

Trump
by 22.7%

2016-09-02
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 22:30

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

11.8%

42.4%

Trump
by 30.6%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 14:58

2016-09-05 12:00

Ipsos

31.9%

56.1%

Trump
by 24.2%

2016-08-26
2016-09-15

2016-09-16
2016-09-17 23:12

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

24.7%

35.7%

Trump
by 11.1%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-11 02:44

2016-08-29 12:00

Ipsos

30.1%

55.8%

Trump
by 25.8%

2016-08-19
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-12 01:32

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

25.2%

35.9%

Trump
by 10.8%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-11 02:43

2016-08-25 00:00

Dan Jones

23.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 21.0%

2016-08-18
2016-08-31

2016-09-05
2016-09-07 16:55

2016-08-22 12:00

Ipsos

27.9%

58.1%

Trump
by 30.2%

2016-08-12
2016-09-01

2016-09-02
2016-09-04 08:08

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

25.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 19.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 02:34

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

34.0%

53.0%

Trump
by 19.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 02:32

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

25.9%

36.1%

Trump
by 10.3%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-11 02:41

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

26.2%

46.7%

Trump
by 20.5%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 04:30

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

30.1%

50.0%

Trump
by 19.9%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 04:28

2016-08-15 12:00

Ipsos

29.0%

49.0%

Trump
by 20.0%

2016-08-05
2016-08-25

2016-08-26
2016-08-28 01:21

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

24.1%

40.4%

Trump
by 16.3%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-11 02:39

2016-08-08 12:00

Ipsos

30.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 14.0%

2016-07-29
2016-08-18

2016-08-19
2016-08-28 01:25

2016-07-11 00:00

Dan Jones w/4P

23.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 21.0%

2016-07-05
2016-07-16

2016-07-17
2016-07-19 03:54

2016-05-27 00:00

Dan Jones

32.0%

49.0%

Trump
by 17.0%

2016-05-18
2016-06-04

2016-06-05
2016-07-10 23:04

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

33.8%

44.8%

Trump
by 11.0%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 22:07

2016-04-14 00:00

Dan Jones

32.0%

49.0%

Trump
by 17.0%

2016-04-08
2016-04-19

2016-04-24
2016-07-10 23:13

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

31.8%

50.6%

Trump
by 18.8%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 17:36

2015-09-26 12:00

Dan Jones

30.0%

51.0%

Trump
by 21.0%

2015-09-22
2015-09-30

2015-10-12
2015-10-25 22:11

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

32.6%

64.5%

REP
by 31.9%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:25

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

36.1%

61.5%

REP
by 25.4%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-25 05:27

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

30.3%

68.4%

REP
by 38.1%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 05:41

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

27.6%

67.2%

REP
by 39.5%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-09 06:04

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

33.7%

52.2%

REP
by 18.5%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 08:47

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

28.4%

42.0%

REP
by 13.6%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 02:21

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

36.0%

62.1%

REP
by 26.1%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 08:11

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

26.4%

72.4%

REP
by 46.0%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-21 07:31

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

25.2%

66.5%

REP
by 41.3%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:30

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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