2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Delaware [3 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 09:33 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

41.9%

30.4%

Clinton
by 11.5%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 09:33

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

54.0%

41.8%

Clinton
by 12.2%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 06:16

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

51.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 15.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 19:12

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

52.3%

40.8%

Clinton
by 11.5%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 15:28

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

38.2%

34.9%

Clinton
by 3.3%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 19:08

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

55.3%

41.9%

Clinton
by 13.4%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-02 22:55

2016-10-24 12:00

Ipsos

44.7%

33.8%

Clinton
by 10.9%

2016-10-14
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-05 23:38

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

52.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 16.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 03:44

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

51.3%

41.5%

Clinton
by 9.8%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-30 23:22

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

34.2%

33.3%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 14:58

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

50.7%

31.6%

Clinton
by 19.1%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 02:26

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

55.7%

41.5%

Clinton
by 14.2%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-29 19:41

2016-10-17 12:00

Ipsos

47.9%

36.2%

Clinton
by 11.7%

2016-10-07
2016-10-27

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 03:20

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

37.2%

28.2%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 07:51

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

51.6%

40.5%

Clinton
by 11.1%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 19:26

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

55.5%

41.6%

Clinton
by 13.9%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 08:50

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

41.2%

28.5%

Clinton
by 12.7%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 03:16

2016-10-10 12:00

Ipsos

47.8%

33.9%

Clinton
by 13.9%

2016-09-30
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-23 00:57

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

54.4%

37.2%

Clinton
by 17.2%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 15:58

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

40.4%

28.3%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 06:40

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

55.2%

41.4%

Clinton
by 13.8%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 17:46

2016-10-03 12:00

Ipsos

47.0%

39.3%

Clinton
by 7.7%

2016-09-23
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 01:36

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

55.6%

37.8%

Clinton
by 17.8%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-24 21:45

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

47.4%

18.2%

Clinton
by 29.2%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-06 06:19

2016-09-26 12:00

Ipsos

46.3%

35.6%

Clinton
by 10.6%

2016-09-16
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 03:33

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

54.2%

42.9%

Clinton
by 11.3%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-04 05:08

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

54.0%

39.2%

Clinton
by 14.8%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 04:52

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

25.9%

23.4%

Clinton
by 2.6%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-29 20:33

2016-09-22 12:00

UDel w/4P

51.0%

30.0%

Clinton
by 21.0%

2016-09-16
2016-09-28

2016-10-03
2016-10-04 03:58

2016-09-19 12:00

Ipsos

43.2%

35.3%

Clinton
by 7.9%

2016-09-09
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-05 05:04

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

54.2%

42.4%

Clinton
by 11.8%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 05:53

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

41.2%

30.0%

Clinton
by 11.2%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-24 02:30

2016-09-12 12:00

Ipsos

40.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 7.1%

2016-09-02
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-29 05:42

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

33.9%

28.3%

Clinton
by 5.6%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 15:36

2016-09-05 12:00

Ipsos

43.3%

28.1%

Clinton
by 15.3%

2016-08-26
2016-09-15

2016-09-16
2016-09-17 23:06

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

37.4%

30.6%

Clinton
by 6.8%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-11 21:41

2016-08-29 12:00

Ipsos

45.6%

23.5%

Clinton
by 22.1%

2016-08-19
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-12 03:18

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

34.1%

31.7%

Clinton
by 2.4%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-11 21:39

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

43.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 02:08

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

50.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 02:07

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

35.7%

23.0%

Clinton
by 12.7%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-11 21:37

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

41.6%

31.8%

Clinton
by 9.8%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-13 15:26

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

45.4%

34.8%

Clinton
by 10.6%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-13 15:24

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

34.5%

32.3%

Clinton
by 2.2%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-11 21:36

2016-08-08 12:00

Ipsos

44.0%

22.0%

Clinton
by 22.0%

2016-07-29
2016-08-18

2016-08-19
2016-08-28 05:35

2016-07-22 12:00

PublicMind w/3P

42.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-07-20
2016-07-24

2016-07-27
2016-07-29 08:45

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

44.5%

39.4%

Clinton
by 5.1%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 21:53

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

47.4%

37.6%

Clinton
by 9.8%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 17:21

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

58.6%

40.0%

DEM
by 18.6%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:06

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

61.9%

37.0%

DEM
by 25.0%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-22 10:45

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

53.4%

45.8%

DEM
by 7.6%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 01:23

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

55.0%

41.9%

DEM
by 13.1%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-09 05:49

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

51.8%

36.6%

DEM
by 15.2%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 08:29

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

43.5%

35.8%

DEM
by 7.7%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 02:14

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

43.5%

55.9%

REP
by 12.4%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 04:26

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

39.9%

59.8%

REP
by 19.9%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-21 07:11

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

44.9%

47.2%

REP
by 2.3%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:21

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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