2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - District of Columbia [3 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 09:30 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:

Best Polled:

Democrat:

Republican:

State:

History Shown in Graph:

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

Poll Average

Clinton		Trump

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-11-04 12:00	Google w/3P	53.6%	10.6%	Clinton by 43.0%	2016-11-01 2016-11-07	2016-11-08 2016-11-08 09:30
2016-11-03 00:00	CVoter	91.5%	5.5%	Clinton by 86.0%	2016-10-30 2016-11-06	2016-11-07 2016-11-08 08:01
2016-11-01 12:00	SurveyMonkey EM w/3P	87.0%	6.0%	Clinton by 81.0%	2016-10-29 2016-11-04	2016-11-05 2016-11-05 21:15
2016-10-30 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	85.9%	8.1%	Clinton by 77.8%	2016-10-23 2016-11-05	2016-11-06 2016-11-07 15:31
2016-10-28 12:00	Google w/3P	47.9%	19.4%	Clinton by 28.5%	2016-10-25 2016-10-31	2016-11-01 2016-11-02 19:06

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-10-26 12:00	CVoter	80.7%	13.0%	Clinton by 67.7%	2016-10-23 2016-10-29	2016-10-31 2016-11-03 03:52
2016-10-24 12:00	SurveyMonkey EM w/3P	87.0%	5.0%	Clinton by 82.0%	2016-10-20 2016-10-28	2016-10-28 2016-10-29 03:47
2016-10-23 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	85.3%	8.9%	Clinton by 76.4%	2016-10-16 2016-10-29	2016-10-30 2016-10-30 23:24
2016-10-22 12:00	Google w/3P	61.7%	11.1%	Clinton by 50.5%	2016-10-20 2016-10-24	2016-10-25 2016-10-30 14:55
2016-10-21 00:00	CCES w/4P	79.8%	6.8%	Clinton by 73.0%	2016-10-04 2016-11-06	2016-11-07 2016-11-08 02:28
2016-10-20 00:00	CVoter	81.0%	12.9%	Clinton by 68.1%	2016-10-16 2016-10-23	2016-10-24 2016-10-30 02:02
2016-10-17 12:00	Google w/3P	65.8%	7.1%	Clinton by 58.8%	2016-10-15 2016-10-19	2016-10-20 2016-10-23 07:47
2016-10-16 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	83.4%	9.7%	Clinton by 73.7%	2016-10-09 2016-10-22	2016-10-23 2016-10-25 19:28
2016-10-13 00:00	CVoter	80.9%	13.1%	Clinton by 67.8%	2016-10-09 2016-10-16	2016-10-17 2016-10-19 10:57
2016-10-12 12:00	Google w/3P	58.1%	21.3%	Clinton by 36.8%	2016-10-10 2016-10-14	2016-10-15 2016-10-19 03:14
2016-10-09 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	83.8%	8.8%	Clinton by 75.0%	2016-10-02 2016-10-15	2016-10-16 2016-10-25 16:02
2016-10-07 00:00	Google w/3P	57.9%	15.1%	Clinton by 42.8%	2016-10-04 2016-10-09	2016-10-10 2016-10-11 06:38
2016-10-06 00:00	CVoter	80.3%	13.9%	Clinton by 66.4%	2016-10-02 2016-10-09	2016-10-10 2016-10-13 05:07
2016-10-02 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	85.8%	8.2%	Clinton by 77.6%	2016-09-25 2016-10-08	2016-10-09 2016-10-24 21:47
2016-09-30 12:00	Google w/3P	62.2%	9.8%	Clinton by 52.4%	2016-09-27 2016-10-03	2016-10-04 2016-10-06 06:15
2016-09-26 00:00	CVoter	78.9%	14.4%	Clinton by 64.5%	2016-09-19 2016-10-02	2016-10-03 2016-10-05 00:46
2016-09-25 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	83.3%	10.1%	Clinton by 73.2%	2016-09-18 2016-10-01	2016-10-02 2016-10-24 04:57
2016-09-24 00:00	Google w/3P	66.5%	15.3%	Clinton by 51.2%	2016-09-21 2016-09-26	2016-09-27 2016-09-29 20:31
2016-09-19 00:00	CVoter	80.5%	14.3%	Clinton by 66.2%	2016-09-12 2016-09-25	2016-09-26 2016-09-28 18:47
2016-09-17 12:00	Google w/3P	43.2%	28.5%	Clinton by 14.8%	2016-09-14 2016-09-20	2016-09-21 2016-09-24 02:20
2016-09-10 12:00	Google w/3P	38.8%	32.4%	Clinton by 6.4%	2016-09-07 2016-09-13	2016-09-14 2016-09-18 15:26
2016-09-03 12:00	Google w/3P	47.9%	21.8%	Clinton by 26.1%	2016-08-31 2016-09-06	2016-09-07 2016-09-11 02:01
2016-08-27 12:00	Google w/3P	44.3%	25.6%	Clinton by 18.7%	2016-08-24 2016-08-30	2016-08-31 2016-09-11 01:58
2016-08-20 12:00	Google w/3P	54.0%	22.2%	Clinton by 31.9%	2016-08-17 2016-08-23	2016-08-24 2016-09-11 01:57
2016-08-16 12:00	Morning Consult w/4P [2]	63.6%	13.4%	Clinton by 50.2%	2016-08-01 2016-08-31	2016-09-08 2016-09-13 15:21
2016-08-16 12:00	Morning Consult [2]	69.0%	15.3%	Clinton by 53.7%	2016-08-01 2016-08-31	2016-09-08 2016-09-13 15:20
2016-08-13 12:00	Google w/3P	44.2%	24.8%	Clinton by 19.4%	2016-08-10 2016-08-16	2016-08-17 2016-09-11 01:54
2016-05-16 12:00	Morning Consult	65.7%	20.2%	Clinton by 45.5%	2016-04-01 2016-06-30	2016-07-14 2016-07-25 21:51
2016-02-19 00:00	Morning Consult	69.8%	16.6%	Clinton by 53.2%	2016-01-01 2016-04-07	2016-04-13 2016-07-23 17:19
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	90.9%	7.3%	DEM by 83.6%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-22 02:07
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	92.5%	6.5%	DEM by 85.9%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-09-22 10:46
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	89.2%	9.3%	DEM by 79.8%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-14 01:25
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	85.2%	9.0%	DEM by 76.2%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-09 05:50
1996-11-06 12:00	Election1996	85.2%	9.3%	DEM by 75.9%	1996-11-06 1996-11-06	1996-11-06 2014-02-16 08:30
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	84.6%	9.1%	DEM by 75.5%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 02:15
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	82.7%	14.3%	DEM by 68.4%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 04:38
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	85.4%	13.7%	DEM by 71.7%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-21 07:13
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	74.9%	13.4%	DEM by 61.5%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 17:23

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

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If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com

2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

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