2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Alabama [9 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 08:49 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

20.2%

60.7%

Trump
by 40.4%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 08:49

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

36.9%

58.3%

Trump
by 21.4%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 05:56

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

36.0%

54.0%

Trump
by 18.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 19:00

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

38.0%

55.7%

Trump
by 17.7%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 15:11

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

20.4%

56.1%

Trump
by 35.7%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 18:50

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-28 00:00

Ipsos

38.4%

55.1%

Trump
by 16.7%

2016-10-21
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-05 23:21

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

37.2%

58.0%

Trump
by 20.8%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-02 22:38

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

36.0%

53.0%

Trump
by 17.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 03:21

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

38.3%

54.4%

Trump
by 16.1%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-30 22:28

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

22.4%

56.8%

Trump
by 34.5%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 14:40

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

31.6%

52.6%

Trump
by 21.0%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 02:11

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

37.3%

57.8%

Trump
by 20.5%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-29 18:31

2016-10-17 12:00

Ipsos

38.9%

51.3%

Trump
by 12.3%

2016-10-07
2016-10-27

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 03:06

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

23.7%

53.4%

Trump
by 29.7%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 07:04

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

39.1%

51.4%

Trump
by 12.3%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 19:08

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

37.8%

57.1%

Trump
by 19.3%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 08:33

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

19.6%

54.8%

Trump
by 35.2%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 02:25

2016-10-10 12:00

Ipsos

38.4%

52.4%

Trump
by 14.0%

2016-09-30
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-22 22:11

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

39.0%

53.2%

Trump
by 14.2%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 02:48

2016-10-07 00:00

Ipsos

38.3%

53.8%

Trump
by 15.5%

2016-09-30
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 01:14

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

22.5%

53.8%

Trump
by 31.3%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 05:23

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

38.0%

56.3%

Trump
by 18.3%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 16:33

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

38.6%

55.0%

Trump
by 16.4%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-24 18:51

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

19.5%

56.6%

Trump
by 37.1%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-06 05:49

2016-09-30 00:00

Ipsos

36.5%

56.8%

Trump
by 20.3%

2016-09-23
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 02:48

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

36.0%

59.4%

Trump
by 23.4%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-04 04:27

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

38.5%

55.1%

Trump
by 16.6%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 02:26

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

29.2%

48.4%

Trump
by 19.2%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-29 19:52

2016-09-23 00:00

Ipsos

37.0%

55.5%

Trump
by 18.5%

2016-09-16
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-05 03:58

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

36.1%

58.4%

Trump
by 22.3%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 05:28

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

18.4%

55.1%

Trump
by 36.8%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-23 15:08

2016-09-12 12:00

Ipsos

39.4%

53.1%

Trump
by 13.8%

2016-09-02
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 19:34

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

19.0%

56.8%

Trump
by 37.8%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 18:15

2016-09-05 12:00

Ipsos

40.1%

52.9%

Trump
by 12.8%

2016-08-26
2016-09-15

2016-09-16
2016-09-17 21:51

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

21.3%

55.6%

Trump
by 34.3%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-11 15:26

2016-08-29 12:00

Ipsos

42.3%

50.6%

Trump
by 8.3%

2016-08-19
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-12 01:02

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

17.1%

56.2%

Trump
by 39.1%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-11 15:24

2016-08-22 12:00

Ipsos

39.4%

51.5%

Trump
by 12.2%

2016-08-12
2016-09-01

2016-09-02
2016-09-04 07:20

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

31.0%

53.0%

Trump
by 22.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-06 16:16

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

36.0%

57.0%

Trump
by 21.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-06 16:13

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

18.0%

56.8%

Trump
by 38.8%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-11 15:21

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

28.0%

49.5%

Trump
by 21.5%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-13 14:42

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

30.9%

53.1%

Trump
by 22.2%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-13 14:40

2016-08-15 12:00

Ipsos

42.0%

48.0%

Trump
by 6.0%

2016-08-05
2016-08-25

2016-08-26
2016-08-28 04:05

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

19.6%

54.5%

Trump
by 35.0%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-11 15:20

2016-08-08 12:00

Ipsos

36.0%

55.0%

Trump
by 19.0%

2016-07-29
2016-08-18

2016-08-19
2016-08-28 04:07

2016-07-19 12:00

WKRG

33.0%

57.0%

Trump
by 24.0%

2016-07-19
2016-07-19

2016-07-21
2016-07-23 16:11

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

33.3%

52.3%

Trump
by 19.0%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 21:37

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

30.9%

53.3%

Trump
by 22.4%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 17:03

2016-01-10 12:00

WKRG

32.0%

68.0%

Trump
by 36.0%

2016-01-10
2016-01-10

2016-01-14
2016-07-23 16:19

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

38.4%

60.6%

REP
by 22.2%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-21 23:03

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

38.7%

60.3%

REP
by 21.6%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-22 10:11

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

36.8%

62.5%

REP
by 25.6%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-13 23:19

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

41.6%

56.5%

REP
by 14.9%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-05 07:04

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

43.2%

50.1%

REP
by 7.0%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 08:11

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

40.9%

47.7%

REP
by 6.8%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 02:01

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

39.9%

59.2%

REP
by 19.3%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 02:20

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

38.3%

60.5%

REP
by 22.3%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-21 05:58

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

47.5%

48.8%

REP
by 1.3%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 16:59

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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