2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Alaska [3 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-05 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 12:00 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:

Best Polled:

Democrat:

Republican:

State:

History Shown in Graph:

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

Poll Average

Clinton		Trump

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-11-05 00:00	Gravis w/4P	41.0%	44.0%	Trump by 3.0%	2016-11-03 2016-11-06	2016-11-07 2016-11-08 12:00
2016-11-04 12:00	Google w/3P	23.2%	47.4%	Trump by 24.2%	2016-11-01 2016-11-07	2016-11-08 2016-11-08 08:46
2016-11-03 00:00	CVoter	40.5%	52.7%	Trump by 12.2%	2016-10-30 2016-11-06	2016-11-07 2016-11-08 05:59
2016-11-01 12:00	SurveyMonkey EM w/3P	33.0%	46.0%	Trump by 13.0%	2016-10-29 2016-11-04	2016-11-05 2016-11-05 20:52
2016-10-30 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	38.3%	48.7%	Trump by 10.4%	2016-10-23 2016-11-05	2016-11-06 2016-11-07 15:14

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-10-28 12:00	Google w/3P	29.3%	32.6%	Trump by 3.3%	2016-10-25 2016-10-31	2016-11-01 2016-11-02 18:12
2016-10-26 12:00	CVoter	40.8%	54.9%	Trump by 14.1%	2016-10-23 2016-10-29	2016-10-31 2016-11-02 22:41
2016-10-26 12:00	Power (GCS) w/3P	38.0%	39.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2016-10-25 2016-10-27	2016-10-30 2016-10-31 06:11
2016-10-25 00:00	Craciun w/Lean w/4P [2]	47.0%	43.0%	Clinton by 4.0%	2016-10-22 2016-10-27	2016-10-29 2016-10-30 19:57
2016-10-25 00:00	Craciun w/4P [2]	36.0%	33.0%	Clinton by 3.0%	2016-10-22 2016-10-27	2016-10-29 2016-10-30 19:51
2016-10-24 12:00	SurveyMonkey EM w/3P	33.0%	45.0%	Trump by 12.0%	2016-10-20 2016-10-28	2016-10-28 2016-10-29 03:23
2016-10-23 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	37.2%	49.7%	Trump by 12.5%	2016-10-16 2016-10-29	2016-10-30 2016-10-30 22:31
2016-10-22 12:00	Google w/3P	37.3%	33.2%	Clinton by 4.2%	2016-10-20 2016-10-24	2016-10-25 2016-10-30 14:37
2016-10-21 00:00	CCES w/4P	37.4%	37.7%	Trump by 0.3%	2016-10-04 2016-11-06	2016-11-07 2016-11-08 02:15
2016-10-20 00:00	CVoter	41.0%	54.5%	Trump by 13.5%	2016-10-16 2016-10-23	2016-10-24 2016-10-29 18:34
2016-10-17 12:00	Google w/3P	28.1%	36.9%	Trump by 8.8%	2016-10-15 2016-10-19	2016-10-20 2016-10-23 07:01
2016-10-16 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	35.3%	48.5%	Trump by 13.2%	2016-10-09 2016-10-22	2016-10-23 2016-10-25 19:11
2016-10-13 00:00	CVoter	41.3%	54.1%	Trump by 12.8%	2016-10-09 2016-10-16	2016-10-17 2016-10-19 08:36
2016-10-12 12:00	Google w/3P	34.6%	30.0%	Clinton by 4.6%	2016-10-10 2016-10-14	2016-10-15 2016-10-19 02:21
2016-10-12 12:00	Lake w/4P	36.0%	37.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2016-10-11 2016-10-13	2016-10-16 2016-10-19 01:02
2016-10-09 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	37.4%	48.1%	Trump by 10.7%	2016-10-02 2016-10-15	2016-10-16 2016-10-25 02:52
2016-10-07 00:00	Google w/3P	30.0%	27.2%	Clinton by 2.8%	2016-10-04 2016-10-09	2016-10-10 2016-10-11 05:20
2016-10-06 00:00	CVoter	41.3%	53.4%	Trump by 12.1%	2016-10-02 2016-10-09	2016-10-10 2016-10-12 16:36
2016-10-06 00:00	Ivan Moore w/4P	34.0%	37.0%	Trump by 3.0%	2016-10-05 2016-10-06	2016-10-08 2016-10-09 02:58
2016-10-02 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	36.7%	49.9%	Trump by 13.2%	2016-09-25 2016-10-08	2016-10-09 2016-10-24 18:56
2016-09-30 12:00	ASR [2]	42.0%	45.8%	Trump by 3.8%	2016-09-28 2016-10-02	2016-10-09 2016-10-10 05:50
2016-09-30 12:00	ASR w/4P [2]	30.6%	36.1%	Trump by 5.5%	2016-09-28 2016-10-02	2016-10-09 2016-10-10 05:21
2016-09-30 12:00	Google w/3P	47.5%	36.7%	Clinton by 10.8%	2016-09-27 2016-10-03	2016-10-04 2016-10-06 05:46
2016-09-26 00:00	CVoter	40.3%	55.2%	Trump by 14.9%	2016-09-19 2016-10-02	2016-10-03 2016-10-04 04:52
2016-09-25 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	36.7%	50.9%	Trump by 14.2%	2016-09-18 2016-10-01	2016-10-02 2016-10-24 02:30
2016-09-24 00:00	Google w/3P	28.4%	37.7%	Trump by 9.4%	2016-09-21 2016-09-26	2016-09-27 2016-09-29 19:47
2016-09-19 00:00	CVoter	40.1%	54.9%	Trump by 14.8%	2016-09-12 2016-09-25	2016-09-26 2016-09-28 05:34
2016-09-17 12:00	Google w/3P	20.8%	39.2%	Trump by 18.4%	2016-09-14 2016-09-20	2016-09-21 2016-09-23 14:57
2016-09-14 12:00	Ivan Moore w/4P	31.0%	39.0%	Trump by 8.0%	2016-09-13 2016-09-15	2016-10-08 2016-10-09 02:56
2016-09-10 12:00	Google w/3P	23.4%	41.2%	Trump by 17.8%	2016-09-07 2016-09-13	2016-09-14 2016-09-18 16:39
2016-09-03 12:00	Google w/3P	18.1%	44.2%	Trump by 26.2%	2016-08-31 2016-09-06	2016-09-07 2016-09-11 17:35
2016-08-28 12:00	Ivan Moore w/4P	29.0%	39.0%	Trump by 10.0%	2016-08-27 2016-08-29	2016-09-01 2016-09-04 08:19
2016-08-27 12:00	Google w/3P	30.8%	29.4%	Clinton by 1.5%	2016-08-24 2016-08-30	2016-08-31 2016-09-11 17:32
2016-08-21 00:00	WaPo w/4P [2]	31.0%	38.0%	Trump by 7.0%	2016-08-09 2016-09-01	2016-09-06 2016-09-06 16:21
2016-08-21 00:00	WaPo [2]	39.0%	47.0%	Trump by 8.0%	2016-08-09 2016-09-01	2016-09-06 2016-09-06 16:19
2016-08-20 12:00	Google w/3P	29.5%	38.0%	Trump by 8.5%	2016-08-17 2016-08-23	2016-08-24 2016-09-11 17:29
2016-08-16 12:00	Morning Consult w/4P [2]	26.4%	39.6%	Trump by 13.2%	2016-08-01 2016-08-31	2016-09-08 2016-09-13 14:38
2016-08-16 12:00	Morning Consult [2]	29.3%	50.2%	Trump by 20.9%	2016-08-01 2016-08-31	2016-09-08 2016-09-13 14:35
2016-08-13 12:00	Google w/3P	31.7%	28.4%	Clinton by 3.3%	2016-08-10 2016-08-16	2016-08-17 2016-09-11 17:27
2016-08-12 00:00	Lake w/4P	30.0%	38.0%	Trump by 8.0%	2016-08-09 2016-08-14	2016-10-16 2016-10-19 01:04
2016-06-18 12:00	Ivan Moore w/4P [2]	30.4%	39.4%	Trump by 9.0%	2016-06-16 2016-06-20	2016-08-22 2016-08-28 06:23
2016-06-18 12:00	Ivan Moore [2]	41.0%	45.0%	Trump by 4.0%	2016-06-16 2016-06-20	2016-08-22 2016-08-28 06:19
2016-05-16 12:00	Morning Consult	31.5%	52.5%	Trump by 21.0%	2016-04-01 2016-06-30	2016-07-14 2016-07-25 21:34
2016-02-19 00:00	Morning Consult	33.2%	48.0%	Trump by 14.8%	2016-01-01 2016-04-07	2016-04-13 2016-07-23 16:58
2016-01-09 00:00	Ivan Moore	44.1%	49.3%	Trump by 5.2%	2016-01-05 2016-01-12	2016-01-23 2016-07-10 22:05
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	40.8%	54.8%	REP by 14.0%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-21 23:06
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	37.9%	59.4%	REP by 21.5%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-09-22 10:36
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	35.5%	61.1%	REP by 25.6%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-13 23:25
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	27.7%	58.6%	REP by 31.0%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-05 07:08
1996-11-06 12:00	Election1996	33.3%	50.8%	REP by 17.5%	1996-11-06 1996-11-06	1996-11-06 2014-02-16 08:12
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	30.3%	39.5%	REP by 9.2%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 02:04
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	36.3%	59.6%	REP by 23.3%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 02:51
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	29.9%	66.7%	REP by 36.8%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-21 06:12
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	26.4%	54.4%	REP by 27.9%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 17:05

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

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