2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Alaska [3 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-05 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 12:00 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-05 00:00

Gravis w/4P

41.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2016-11-03
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 12:00

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

23.2%

47.4%

Trump
by 24.2%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 08:46

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

40.5%

52.7%

Trump
by 12.2%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 05:59

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

33.0%

46.0%

Trump
by 13.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 20:52

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

38.3%

48.7%

Trump
by 10.4%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 15:14

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

29.3%

32.6%

Trump
by 3.3%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 18:12

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

40.8%

54.9%

Trump
by 14.1%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-02 22:41

2016-10-26 12:00

Power (GCS) w/3P

38.0%

39.0%

Trump
by 1.0%

2016-10-25
2016-10-27

2016-10-30
2016-10-31 06:11

2016-10-25 00:00

Craciun w/Lean w/4P [2]

47.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-10-22
2016-10-27

2016-10-29
2016-10-30 19:57

2016-10-25 00:00

Craciun w/4P [2]

36.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-10-22
2016-10-27

2016-10-29
2016-10-30 19:51

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

33.0%

45.0%

Trump
by 12.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 03:23

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

37.2%

49.7%

Trump
by 12.5%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-30 22:31

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

37.3%

33.2%

Clinton
by 4.2%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 14:37

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

37.4%

37.7%

Trump
by 0.3%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 02:15

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

41.0%

54.5%

Trump
by 13.5%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-29 18:34

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

28.1%

36.9%

Trump
by 8.8%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 07:01

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

35.3%

48.5%

Trump
by 13.2%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 19:11

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

41.3%

54.1%

Trump
by 12.8%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 08:36

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

34.6%

30.0%

Clinton
by 4.6%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 02:21

2016-10-12 12:00

Lake w/4P

36.0%

37.0%

Trump
by 1.0%

2016-10-11
2016-10-13

2016-10-16
2016-10-19 01:02

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

37.4%

48.1%

Trump
by 10.7%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 02:52

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

30.0%

27.2%

Clinton
by 2.8%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 05:20

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

41.3%

53.4%

Trump
by 12.1%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 16:36

2016-10-06 00:00

Ivan Moore w/4P

34.0%

37.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2016-10-05
2016-10-06

2016-10-08
2016-10-09 02:58

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

36.7%

49.9%

Trump
by 13.2%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-24 18:56

2016-09-30 12:00

ASR [2]

42.0%

45.8%

Trump
by 3.8%

2016-09-28
2016-10-02

2016-10-09
2016-10-10 05:50

2016-09-30 12:00

ASR w/4P [2]

30.6%

36.1%

Trump
by 5.5%

2016-09-28
2016-10-02

2016-10-09
2016-10-10 05:21

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

47.5%

36.7%

Clinton
by 10.8%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-06 05:46

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

40.3%

55.2%

Trump
by 14.9%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-04 04:52

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

36.7%

50.9%

Trump
by 14.2%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 02:30

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

28.4%

37.7%

Trump
by 9.4%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-29 19:47

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

40.1%

54.9%

Trump
by 14.8%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 05:34

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

20.8%

39.2%

Trump
by 18.4%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-23 14:57

2016-09-14 12:00

Ivan Moore w/4P

31.0%

39.0%

Trump
by 8.0%

2016-09-13
2016-09-15

2016-10-08
2016-10-09 02:56

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

23.4%

41.2%

Trump
by 17.8%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 16:39

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

18.1%

44.2%

Trump
by 26.2%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-11 17:35

2016-08-28 12:00

Ivan Moore w/4P

29.0%

39.0%

Trump
by 10.0%

2016-08-27
2016-08-29

2016-09-01
2016-09-04 08:19

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

30.8%

29.4%

Clinton
by 1.5%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-11 17:32

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

31.0%

38.0%

Trump
by 7.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-06 16:21

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

39.0%

47.0%

Trump
by 8.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-06 16:19

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

29.5%

38.0%

Trump
by 8.5%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-11 17:29

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

26.4%

39.6%

Trump
by 13.2%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-13 14:38

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

29.3%

50.2%

Trump
by 20.9%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-13 14:35

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

31.7%

28.4%

Clinton
by 3.3%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-11 17:27

2016-08-12 00:00

Lake w/4P

30.0%

38.0%

Trump
by 8.0%

2016-08-09
2016-08-14

2016-10-16
2016-10-19 01:04

2016-06-18 12:00

Ivan Moore w/4P [2]

30.4%

39.4%

Trump
by 9.0%

2016-06-16
2016-06-20

2016-08-22
2016-08-28 06:23

2016-06-18 12:00

Ivan Moore [2]

41.0%

45.0%

Trump
by 4.0%

2016-06-16
2016-06-20

2016-08-22
2016-08-28 06:19

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

31.5%

52.5%

Trump
by 21.0%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 21:34

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

33.2%

48.0%

Trump
by 14.8%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 16:58

2016-01-09 00:00

Ivan Moore

44.1%

49.3%

Trump
by 5.2%

2016-01-05
2016-01-12

2016-01-23
2016-07-10 22:05

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

40.8%

54.8%

REP
by 14.0%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-21 23:06

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

37.9%

59.4%

REP
by 21.5%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-22 10:36

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

35.5%

61.1%

REP
by 25.6%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-13 23:25

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

27.7%

58.6%

REP
by 31.0%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-05 07:08

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

33.3%

50.8%

REP
by 17.5%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 08:12

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

30.3%

39.5%

REP
by 9.2%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 02:04

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

36.3%

59.6%

REP
by 23.3%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 02:51

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

29.9%

66.7%

REP
by 36.8%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-21 06:12

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

26.4%

54.4%

REP
by 27.9%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:05

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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