2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Ryan - Nebraska (CD3) [1 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2012-11-06 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2014-10-17 18:42 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Ryan National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Ryan
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonRyanMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

27.8%

70.2%

REP
by 42.4%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:45

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

29.6%

68.6%

REP
by 39.0%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:24

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

23.7%

74.9%

REP
by 51.2%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:48

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

24.9%

71.4%

REP
by 46.4%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:22

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

28.7%

58.8%

REP
by 30.1%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 15:59

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonRyanMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

23.4%

49.5%

REP
by 26.0%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:15

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988(Est)

34.6%

64.7%

REP
by 30.2%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:08

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984(Est)

23.4%

76.0%

REP
by 52.6%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-22 04:14

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

20.5%

72.8%

REP
by 52.3%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 18:42

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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