2016 Electoral College
Clinton vs Rubio - Virginia [13 EV]
Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-02-20 12:00 UTC
Last Poll Update: 2016-08-27 23:05 UTC
Post Mortem Analysis here
Nominees: Clinton vs Trump Best Polled: Clinton vs Trump Clinton vs Bush Clinton vs Cruz Clinton vs Rubio Clinton vs Huckabee || Comparison
Switch to Clinton vs Rubio National Summary
Poll Average
Polls Used in Average
Middate/Time Pollster Clinton Rubio Margin Start/End Released/Entered 2016-02-20 12:00
Hampton
48.0%
45.0%
Clinton by 3.0%
2016-02-18 2016-02-22
2016-02-23 2016-08-27 23:05
2016-01-22 12:00
Roanoke
46.0%
43.0%
Clinton by 3.0%
2016-01-18 2016-01-26
2016-02-03 2016-02-06 20:53
2015-11-11 12:00
Roanoke
45.0%
41.0%
Clinton by 4.0%
2015-11-09 2015-11-13
2015-11-17 2015-11-22 16:44
2015-10-04 00:00
CNU
45.0%
45.0%
TIED
2015-09-29 2015-10-08
2015-10-12 2015-10-15 05:10
2015-08-15 12:00
Roanoke
41.0%
40.0%
Clinton by 1.0%
2015-08-10 2015-08-20
2015-08-25 2015-08-26 03:22
Older Polls
Middate/Time Pollster Clinton Rubio Margin Start/End Released/Entered 2015-07-15 00:00
Quinnipiac
41.0%
43.0%
Rubio by 2.0%
2015-07-09 2015-07-20
2015-07-22 2015-07-22 13:50
2015-07-14 12:00
PPP
47.0%
43.0%
Clinton by 4.0%
2015-07-13 2015-07-15
2015-07-16 2015-07-20 13:56
2015-04-19 00:00
CNU
49.0%
45.0%
Clinton by 4.0%
2015-04-13 2015-04-24
2015-04-27 2015-05-01 05:16
2015-04-03 00:00
Quinnipiac
48.0%
40.0%
Clinton by 8.0%
2015-03-29 2015-04-07
2015-04-09 2015-04-10 06:11
2015-02-05 00:00
CNU
51.0%
42.0%
Clinton by 9.0%
2015-01-30 2015-02-10
2015-02-12 2015-02-13 08:25
2014-02-26 00:00
CNU
48.0%
40.0%
Clinton by 8.0%
2014-02-23 2014-02-28
2014-03-03 2014-03-16 08:01
2013-09-16 00:00
Harper
47.0%
40.0%
Clinton by 7.0%
2013-09-15 2013-09-16
2013-09-17 2014-01-25 21:54
2013-07-13 00:00
PPP
49.0%
37.0%
Clinton by 12.0%
2013-07-11 2013-07-14
2013-07-19 2013-07-23 22:16
2013-05-25 12:00
PPP
46.0%
42.0%
Clinton by 4.0%
2013-05-24 2013-05-26
2013-05-31 2013-06-03 20:47
2013-05-11 00:00
Quinnipiac
51.0%
38.0%
Clinton by 13.0%
2013-05-08 2013-05-13
2013-05-16 2013-08-07 16:26
2012-11-06 12:00
Election2012
51.2%
47.3%
DEM by 3.9%
2012-11-06 2012-11-06
2012-11-06 2013-09-22 05:16
2008-11-04 12:00
Election2008
52.6%
46.3%
DEM by 6.3%
2008-11-04 2008-11-04
2008-11-04 2013-10-06 03:17
2004-11-02 12:00
Election2004
45.5%
53.7%
REP by 8.2%
2004-11-02 2004-11-02
2004-11-02 2013-10-14 07:15
2000-11-07 12:00
Election2000
44.4%
52.5%
REP by 8.0%
2000-11-07 2000-11-07
2000-11-07 2013-11-10 11:10
1996-11-06 12:00
Election1996
45.2%
47.1%
REP by 2.0%
1996-11-06 1996-11-06
1996-11-06 2014-02-18 15:48
1992-11-03 12:00
Election1992
40.6%
45.0%
REP by 4.4%
1992-11-03 1992-11-03
1992-11-03 2014-03-17 07:04
1988-11-08 12:00
Election1988
39.2%
59.7%
REP by 20.5%
1988-11-08 1988-11-08
1988-11-08 2014-05-17 20:06
1984-11-06 12:00
Election1984
37.1%
62.3%
REP by 25.2%
1984-11-06 1984-11-06
1984-11-06 2014-05-24 07:41
1980-11-04 12:00
Election1980
40.3%
53.0%
REP by 12.7%
1980-11-04 1980-11-04
1980-11-04 2014-10-17 19:28
Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races .
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2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ
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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text
Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here .
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