2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Rubio - New York [29 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-03-01 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-03-08 15:20 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Rubio National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Rubio
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonRubioMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-03-01 12:00

Siena

56.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 21.0%

2016-02-28
2016-03-03

2016-03-07
2016-03-08 15:20

2015-04-21 12:00

Siena

59.0%

30.0%

Clinton
by 29.0%

2015-04-19
2015-04-23

2015-04-27
2015-05-01 04:26

2015-03-14 00:00

Quinnipiac

58.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 27.0%

2015-03-11
2015-03-16

2015-03-23
2015-03-24 18:08

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

63.4%

35.2%

DEM
by 28.2%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:02

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

62.9%

36.0%

DEM
by 26.9%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:34

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonRubioMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

58.4%

40.1%

DEM
by 18.3%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:56

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

60.2%

35.2%

DEM
by 25.0%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:35

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

59.5%

30.6%

DEM
by 28.9%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 17:28

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

49.7%

33.9%

DEM
by 15.9%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:26

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

51.6%

47.5%

DEM
by 4.1%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:29

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

45.8%

53.8%

REP
by 8.0%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:43

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

44.0%

46.7%

REP
by 2.7%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 18:59

 

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

 

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If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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