2016 Electoral College
Clinton vs Rubio - North Carolina [15 EV]
Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-03-10 00:00 UTC
Last Poll Update: 2016-07-11 03:06 UTC
Post Mortem Analysis here
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Switch to Clinton vs Rubio National Summary
Poll Average
Polls Used in Average
Middate/Time Pollster Clinton Rubio Margin Start/End Released/Entered 2016-03-10 00:00
SurveyUSA
43.0%
45.0%
Rubio
2016-03-09
2016-03-11
2016-02-17 12:00
Elon
44.6%
48.0%
Rubio
2016-02-15
2016-02-22
2016-02-15 12:00
SurveyUSA
42.0%
49.0%
Rubio
2016-02-14
2016-02-17
2016-02-15 12:00
PPP
40.0%
49.0%
Rubio
2016-02-14
2016-02-17
2016-01-19 00:00
PPP
42.0%
47.0%
Rubio
2016-01-18
2016-01-20
Older Polls
Middate/Time Pollster Clinton Rubio Margin Start/End Released/Entered 2015-12-06 12:00
PPP
42.0%
46.0%
Rubio
2015-12-05
2015-12-08
2015-10-31 12:00
Elon
45.3%
46.4%
Rubio
2015-10-29
2015-11-05
2015-10-24 12:00
PPP
42.0%
48.0%
Rubio
2015-10-23
2015-10-27
2015-09-29 12:00
Civitas
42.0%
47.0%
Rubio
2015-09-28
2015-10-09
2015-09-26 00:00
PPP
40.0%
50.0%
Rubio
2015-09-24
2015-09-29
2015-08-14 12:00
PPP
41.0%
45.0%
Rubio
2015-08-12
2015-08-19
2015-07-04 12:00
PPP
46.0%
47.0%
Rubio
2015-07-02
2015-07-08
2015-05-30 00:00
PPP
45.0%
44.0%
Clinton
2015-05-28
2015-06-04
2015-04-30 12:00
Gravis
46.0%
45.0%
Clinton
2015-04-30
2015-05-11
2015-04-25 00:00
SurveyUSA
46.0%
41.0%
Clinton
2015-04-22
2015-04-27
2015-04-04 00:00
PPP
45.0%
45.0%
TIED
2015-04-02
2015-04-10
2015-02-25 12:00
PPP
46.0%
42.0%
Clinton
2015-02-24
2015-03-04
2013-04-13 00:00
PPP
49.0%
42.0%
Clinton
2013-04-11
2013-04-19
2012-11-06 12:00
Election2012
48.4%
50.4%
REP
2012-11-06
2012-11-06
2008-11-04 12:00
Election2008
49.7%
49.4%
DEM
2008-11-04
2008-11-04
2004-11-02 12:00
Election2004
43.6%
56.0%
REP
2004-11-02
2004-11-02
2000-11-07 12:00
Election2000
43.2%
56.0%
REP
2000-11-07
2000-11-07
1996-11-06 12:00
Election1996
44.0%
48.7%
REP
1996-11-06
1996-11-06
1992-11-03 12:00
Election1992
42.7%
43.4%
REP
1992-11-03
1992-11-03
1988-11-08 12:00
Election1988
41.7%
58.0%
REP
1988-11-08
1988-11-08
1984-11-06 12:00
Election1984
37.9%
61.9%
REP
1984-11-06
1984-11-06
1980-11-04 12:00
Election1980
47.2%
49.3%
REP
1980-11-04
1980-11-04
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2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ
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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text
Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here .
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