2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Rubio - Florida [29 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-03-15 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-08-27 07:31 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:

Best Polled:

Democrat:

Republican:

State:

History Shown in Graph:

Switch to Clinton vs Rubio National Summary

Poll Average

Clinton		Rubio

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Rubio	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-03-15 12:00	St Leo	50.3%	37.9%	Clinton by 12.4%	2016-03-13 2016-03-17	2016-03-18 2016-08-27 05:14
2016-03-07 12:00	Marist	47.0%	46.0%	Clinton by 1.0%	2016-03-04 2016-03-10	2016-03-13 2016-03-14 03:01
2016-03-05 12:00	SurveyUSA	45.0%	44.0%	Clinton by 1.0%	2016-03-04 2016-03-06	2016-03-08 2016-03-09 00:02
2016-03-04 12:00	CNN	44.0%	48.0%	Rubio by 4.0%	2016-03-02 2016-03-06	2016-03-09 2016-03-11 06:47
2016-02-25 00:00	PPP	45.0%	43.0%	Clinton by 2.0%	2016-02-24 2016-02-25	2016-02-25 2016-02-27 04:46

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Rubio	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-02-03 00:00	FSC	42.7%	45.2%	Rubio by 2.5%	2016-01-30 2016-02-06	2016-02-07 2016-08-27 07:31
2016-01-17 00:00	FAU	45.8%	45.5%	Clinton by 0.3%	2016-01-15 2016-01-18	2016-01-19 2016-01-21 08:19
2015-12-01 12:00	Saint Leo	48.9%	41.2%	Clinton by 7.7%	2015-11-29 2015-12-03	2015-12-10 2015-12-10 14:39
2015-11-16 00:00	FAU	43.0%	50.2%	Rubio by 7.2%	2015-11-15 2015-11-16	2015-11-18 2015-11-22 13:35
2015-10-30 12:00	SurveyUSA	46.0%	45.0%	Clinton by 1.0%	2015-10-28 2015-11-01	2015-11-03 2015-11-05 08:25
2015-09-30 12:00	Quinnipiac	44.0%	45.0%	Rubio by 1.0%	2015-09-25 2015-10-05	2015-10-07 2015-10-08 05:35
2015-09-19 00:00	FAU	42.2%	50.4%	Rubio by 8.2%	2015-09-17 2015-09-20	2015-09-22 2015-09-23 02:01
2015-09-12 12:00	PPP	43.0%	48.0%	Rubio by 5.0%	2015-09-11 2015-09-13	2015-09-15 2015-09-16 08:15
2015-08-13 00:00	Quinnipiac	39.0%	51.0%	Rubio by 12.0%	2015-08-07 2015-08-18	2015-08-20 2015-08-21 05:36
2015-06-10 00:00	Quinnipiac	47.0%	44.0%	Clinton by 3.0%	2015-06-04 2015-06-15	2015-06-17 2015-06-20 15:43
2015-04-15 12:00	Mason-Dixon	43.0%	49.0%	Rubio by 6.0%	2015-04-14 2015-04-16	2015-04-20 2015-04-21 14:26
2015-03-23 00:00	Quinnipiac	46.0%	44.0%	Clinton by 2.0%	2015-03-17 2015-03-28	2015-03-31 2015-04-01 03:31
2015-03-21 00:00	PPP	48.0%	46.0%	Clinton by 2.0%	2015-03-19 2015-03-22	2015-03-24 2015-03-24 17:44
2015-03-18 12:00	Saint Leo	50.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 8.0%	2015-03-15 2015-03-21	2015-03-26 2015-04-01 05:18
2015-01-28 12:00	Mason-Dixon	45.0%	43.0%	Clinton by 2.0%	2015-01-27 2015-01-29	2015-02-06 2015-02-07 16:52
2015-01-27 12:00	Quinnipiac	49.0%	39.0%	Clinton by 10.0%	2015-01-22 2015-02-01	2015-02-03 2015-02-04 06:23
2014-12-01 12:00	Saint Leo	46.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 4.0%	2014-11-25 2014-12-07	2014-12-10 2014-12-12 04:52
2014-10-23 12:00	Gravis	46.0%	39.0%	Clinton by 7.0%	2014-10-22 2014-10-24	2014-10-26 2014-11-01 07:06
2014-10-12 00:00	Gravis	43.0%	35.0%	Clinton by 8.0%	2014-10-11 2014-10-12	2014-10-13 2014-10-14 21:46
2014-09-06 00:00	PPP	49.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 7.0%	2014-09-04 2014-09-07	2014-09-09 2014-09-10 02:57
2014-08-19 12:00	Gravis	44.0%	35.0%	Clinton by 9.0%	2014-08-14 2014-08-24	2014-08-29 2014-10-14 20:17
2014-07-19 12:00	Quinnipiac	53.0%	39.0%	Clinton by 14.0%	2014-07-17 2014-07-21	2014-07-24 2014-07-25 00:58
2014-06-22 00:00	SurveyUSA	53.0%	39.0%	Clinton by 14.0%	2014-06-20 2014-06-23	2014-06-24 2014-07-31 00:43
2014-06-08 00:00	PPP	48.0%	44.0%	Clinton by 4.0%	2014-06-06 2014-06-09	2014-06-11 2014-06-12 23:49
2014-04-26 00:00	Quinnipiac	52.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 12.0%	2014-04-23 2014-04-28	2014-05-01 2014-05-01 21:52
2014-01-25 00:00	Quinnipiac	51.0%	41.0%	Clinton by 10.0%	2014-01-22 2014-01-27	2014-01-31 2014-03-02 09:40
2014-01-15 12:00	Gravis	49.0%	45.0%	Clinton by 4.0%	2014-01-15 2014-01-15	2014-01-15 2014-10-14 21:17
2013-11-15 00:00	Quinnipiac	50.0%	43.0%	Clinton by 7.0%	2013-11-12 2013-11-17	2013-11-22 2013-12-20 02:05
2013-11-09 12:00	Gravis	49.0%	45.0%	Clinton by 4.0%	2013-11-08 2013-11-10	2013-11-14 2014-01-25 20:22
2013-06-14 00:00	Quinnipiac	53.0%	41.0%	Clinton by 12.0%	2013-06-11 2013-06-16	2013-06-19 2013-08-07 00:44
2013-03-17 00:00	PPP	56.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 16.0%	2013-03-15 2013-03-18	2013-03-21 2013-08-07 00:41
2013-03-16 00:00	Quinnipiac	52.0%	41.0%	Clinton by 11.0%	2013-03-13 2013-03-18	2013-03-21 2013-03-22 22:55
2013-01-12 12:00	PPP	50.0%	46.0%	Clinton by 4.0%	2013-01-11 2013-01-13	2013-01-17 2013-01-23 20:14
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	50.0%	49.1%	DEM by 0.9%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-22 02:08
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	51.0%	48.2%	DEM by 2.8%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-09-22 10:48
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	47.1%	52.1%	REP by 5.0%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-14 01:26
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	48.8%	48.9%	REP by 0.0%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-09 05:52
1996-11-06 12:00	Election1996	48.0%	42.3%	DEM by 5.7%	1996-11-06 1996-11-06	1996-11-06 2014-02-16 08:31
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	39.0%	40.9%	REP by 1.9%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 02:16
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	38.5%	60.9%	REP by 22.4%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 05:14
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	34.7%	65.3%	REP by 30.7%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-21 07:24
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	38.5%	55.5%	REP by 17.0%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 17:24

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

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