2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Rubio - Alaska [3 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-01-09 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-07-10 22:21 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Rubio National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Rubio
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonRubioMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-01-09 00:00

Ivan Moore

37.9%

56.7%

Rubio
by 18.8%

2016-01-05
2016-01-12

2016-01-23
2016-07-10 22:21

2013-07-27 00:00

PPP

42.0%

45.0%

Rubio
by 3.0%

2013-07-25
2013-07-28

2013-08-02
2013-08-07 00:00

2013-02-05 00:00

PPP

44.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2013-02-04
2013-02-05

2013-02-08
2013-03-22 22:04

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

40.8%

54.8%

REP
by 14.0%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-21 23:06

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

37.9%

59.4%

REP
by 21.5%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-22 10:36

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonRubioMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

35.5%

61.1%

REP
by 25.6%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-13 23:25

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

27.7%

58.6%

REP
by 31.0%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-05 07:08

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

33.3%

50.8%

REP
by 17.5%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 08:12

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

30.3%

39.5%

REP
by 9.2%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 02:04

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

36.3%

59.6%

REP
by 23.3%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 02:51

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

29.9%

66.7%

REP
by 36.8%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-21 06:12

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

26.4%

54.4%

REP
by 27.9%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:05

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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