2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Paul - Virginia [13 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2015-07-14 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2015-07-20 13:52 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:

Best Polled:

Democrat:

Republican:

State:

History Shown in Graph:

Switch to Clinton vs Paul National Summary

Poll Average

Clinton		Paul

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Paul	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2015-07-14 12:00	PPP	47.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 5.0%	2015-07-13 2015-07-15	2015-07-16 2015-07-20 13:52
2015-04-19 00:00	CNU	49.0%	47.0%	Clinton by 2.0%	2015-04-13 2015-04-24	2015-04-27 2015-05-01 05:11
2015-04-03 00:00	Quinnipiac	47.0%	43.0%	Clinton by 4.0%	2015-03-29 2015-04-07	2015-04-09 2015-04-10 05:38
2015-02-10 12:00	Quinnipiac	44.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 2.0%	2015-02-05 2015-02-15	2015-02-18 2015-02-19 11:54
2015-02-05 00:00	CNU	52.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 10.0%	2015-01-30 2015-02-10	2015-02-12 2015-02-13 08:20

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Paul	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2014-09-16 12:00	Roanoke	51.0%	35.0%	Clinton by 16.0%	2014-09-13 2014-09-19	2014-09-24 2014-09-25 19:10
2014-07-17 00:00	Roanoke	47.0%	37.0%	Clinton by 10.0%	2014-07-14 2014-07-19	2014-07-19 2014-07-31 02:34
2014-03-22 00:00	Quinnipiac	48.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 6.0%	2014-03-19 2014-03-24	2014-03-27 2014-03-28 07:26
2014-02-26 00:00	CNU	47.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 7.0%	2014-02-23 2014-02-28	2014-03-03 2014-03-16 07:59
2014-02-25 12:00	Roanoke	52.0%	38.0%	Clinton by 14.0%	2014-02-22 2014-02-28	2014-03-04 2014-03-16 08:29
2013-11-20 00:00	WFB	50.0%	43.0%	Clinton by 7.0%	2013-11-19 2013-11-20	2013-11-20 2014-05-19 21:59
2013-09-16 00:00	Harper	50.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 8.0%	2013-09-15 2013-09-16	2013-09-17 2014-01-25 21:55
2013-09-12 12:00	Quinnipiac	49.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 9.0%	2013-09-09 2013-09-15	2013-09-19 2014-01-25 22:07
2013-09-08 12:00	Purple	48.0%	41.0%	Clinton by 7.0%	2013-09-06 2013-09-10	2013-09-13 2014-01-25 21:57
2013-07-13 12:00	Quinnipiac	51.0%	37.0%	Clinton by 14.0%	2013-07-11 2013-07-15	2013-07-17 2013-08-07 16:38
2013-07-13 00:00	PPP	51.0%	39.0%	Clinton by 12.0%	2013-07-11 2013-07-14	2013-07-19 2013-07-23 22:15
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	51.2%	47.3%	DEM by 3.9%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-22 05:16
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	52.6%	46.3%	DEM by 6.3%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-10-06 03:17
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	45.5%	53.7%	REP by 8.2%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-14 07:15
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	44.4%	52.5%	REP by 8.0%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-10 11:10
1996-11-06 12:00	Election1996	45.2%	47.1%	REP by 2.0%	1996-11-06 1996-11-06	1996-11-06 2014-02-18 15:48
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	40.6%	45.0%	REP by 4.4%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 07:04
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	39.2%	59.7%	REP by 20.5%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 20:06
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	37.1%	62.3%	REP by 25.2%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-24 07:41
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	40.3%	53.0%	REP by 12.7%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 19:28

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

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If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

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