2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Cruz - New Hampshire [4 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-04-13 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-07-25 00:22 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:

Best Polled:

Democrat:

Republican:

State:

History Shown in Graph:

Switch to Clinton vs Cruz National Summary

Poll Average

Clinton		Cruz

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Cruz	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-04-13 12:00	Dartmouth	34.3%	32.6%	Clinton by 1.7%	2016-04-11 2016-04-15	2016-05-04 2016-05-10 13:59
2016-04-12 12:00	WMUR	48.0%	34.0%	Clinton by 14.0%	2016-04-07 2016-04-17	2016-04-21 2016-04-25 06:26
2016-02-24 12:00	WMUR	46.0%	35.0%	Clinton by 11.0%	2016-02-20 2016-02-28	2016-02-29 2016-03-01 14:34
2016-02-19 00:00	Morning Consult	42.8%	38.9%	Clinton by 3.9%	2016-01-01 2016-04-07	2016-04-13 2016-07-25 00:22
2016-02-06 12:00	UML	45.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 5.0%	2016-02-05 2016-02-07	2016-02-08 2016-02-09 03:15

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Cruz	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-02-05 12:00	UML	45.0%	39.0%	Clinton by 6.0%	2016-02-04 2016-02-06	2016-02-07 2016-02-07 17:55
2016-02-04 12:00	UML	46.0%	39.0%	Clinton by 7.0%	2016-02-03 2016-02-05	2016-02-06 2016-02-06 17:47
2016-02-03 12:00	UML	44.0%	41.0%	Clinton by 3.0%	2016-02-02 2016-02-04	2016-02-05 2016-02-06 20:12
2016-01-16 00:00	WMUR	47.0%	41.0%	Clinton by 6.0%	2016-01-13 2016-01-18	2016-01-20 2016-01-21 09:14
2016-01-05 12:00	PPP	48.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 8.0%	2016-01-04 2016-01-06	2016-01-08 2016-01-09 18:13
2016-01-05 00:00	Marist	44.0%	48.0%	Cruz by 4.0%	2016-01-02 2016-01-07	2016-01-10 2016-01-11 14:36
2015-12-01 12:00	PPP	47.0%	39.0%	Clinton by 8.0%	2015-11-30 2015-12-02	2015-12-07 2015-12-08 08:27
2015-11-16 12:00	Fox	44.0%	41.0%	Clinton by 3.0%	2015-11-15 2015-11-17	2015-11-18 2015-11-22 10:24
2015-10-17 12:00	PPP	50.0%	37.0%	Clinton by 13.0%	2015-10-16 2015-10-18	2015-10-21 2015-10-25 18:48
2015-08-23 00:00	PPP	49.0%	38.0%	Clinton by 11.0%	2015-08-21 2015-08-24	2015-08-26 2015-08-27 15:03
2015-04-29 00:00	WMUR	46.0%	45.0%	Clinton by 1.0%	2015-04-24 2015-05-03	2015-05-07 2015-05-08 02:53
2015-04-29 00:00	Dartmouth	39.6%	28.7%	Clinton by 10.9%	2015-04-27 2015-04-30	2015-05-06 2015-05-07 04:59
2015-04-22 00:00	Gravis	47.0%	44.0%	Clinton by 3.0%	2015-04-21 2015-04-22	2015-04-27 2015-05-01 05:38
2015-04-11 12:00	PPP	52.0%	37.0%	Clinton by 15.0%	2015-04-09 2015-04-13	2015-04-21 2015-04-21 17:16
2014-07-10 12:00	Marist	51.0%	38.0%	Clinton by 13.0%	2014-07-07 2014-07-13	2014-07-17 2014-07-18 14:50
2014-01-11 00:00	PPP	51.0%	32.0%	Clinton by 19.0%	2014-01-09 2014-01-12	2014-01-16 2014-01-23 23:32
2013-09-15 00:00	PPP	50.0%	38.0%	Clinton by 12.0%	2013-09-13 2013-09-16	2013-09-18 2013-09-25 23:24
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	52.0%	46.4%	DEM by 5.6%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-22 02:47
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	54.1%	44.5%	DEM by 9.6%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-09-30 03:30
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	50.2%	48.9%	DEM by 1.4%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-14 06:52
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	46.8%	48.1%	REP by 1.3%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-10 10:28
1996-11-06 12:00	Election1996	49.3%	39.4%	DEM by 10.0%	1996-11-06 1996-11-06	1996-11-06 2014-02-16 16:06
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	38.9%	37.7%	DEM by 1.2%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 06:20
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	36.3%	62.5%	REP by 26.2%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 19:22
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	31.0%	68.7%	REP by 37.7%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-24 06:35
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	28.4%	57.7%	REP by 29.4%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 18:54

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

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If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com

2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

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