2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Cruz - North Carolina [15 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-04-24 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-07-24 20:35 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:

Best Polled:

Democrat:

Republican:

State:

History Shown in Graph:

Switch to Clinton vs Cruz National Summary

Poll Average

Clinton		Cruz

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Cruz	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-04-24 12:00	Civitas	46.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 6.0%	2016-04-23 2016-04-25	2016-04-29 2016-04-30 16:32
2016-04-23 12:00	PPP	45.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 5.0%	2016-04-22 2016-04-24	2016-04-27 2016-04-30 19:45
2016-04-13 00:00	Elon	41.2%	43.8%	Cruz by 2.6%	2016-04-10 2016-04-15	2016-04-19 2016-04-21 06:28
2016-03-19 12:00	PPP	45.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 3.0%	2016-03-18 2016-03-20	2016-03-22 2016-03-23 02:40
2016-03-10 00:00	SurveyUSA	43.0%	47.0%	Cruz by 4.0%	2016-03-09 2016-03-10	2016-03-11 2016-07-11 03:02

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Cruz	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-02-19 00:00	Morning Consult	39.1%	44.4%	Cruz by 5.3%	2016-01-01 2016-04-07	2016-04-13 2016-07-24 20:35
2016-02-17 12:00	Elon	46.0%	45.7%	Clinton by 0.3%	2016-02-15 2016-02-19	2016-02-22 2016-02-23 14:22
2016-02-15 12:00	SurveyUSA	43.0%	48.0%	Cruz by 5.0%	2016-02-14 2016-02-16	2016-02-17 2016-02-23 14:55
2016-02-15 12:00	PPP	43.0%	46.0%	Cruz by 3.0%	2016-02-14 2016-02-16	2016-02-17 2016-02-20 07:36
2016-01-19 00:00	PPP	43.0%	46.0%	Cruz by 3.0%	2016-01-18 2016-01-19	2016-01-20 2016-01-21 07:12
2015-12-06 12:00	PPP	43.0%	47.0%	Cruz by 4.0%	2015-12-05 2015-12-07	2015-12-08 2015-12-10 04:30
2015-10-24 12:00	PPP	45.0%	46.0%	Cruz by 1.0%	2015-10-23 2015-10-25	2015-10-27 2015-10-29 04:31
2015-09-29 12:00	Civitas	44.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 2.0%	2015-09-28 2015-09-30	2015-10-09 2015-10-15 07:55
2015-09-26 00:00	PPP	43.0%	46.0%	Cruz by 3.0%	2015-09-24 2015-09-27	2015-09-29 2015-09-30 02:48
2015-08-14 12:00	PPP	43.0%	45.0%	Cruz by 2.0%	2015-08-12 2015-08-16	2015-08-19 2015-08-20 00:57
2015-07-04 12:00	PPP	47.0%	46.0%	Clinton by 1.0%	2015-07-02 2015-07-06	2015-07-08 2015-07-12 01:01
2015-05-30 00:00	PPP	49.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 7.0%	2015-05-28 2015-05-31	2015-06-04 2015-06-05 13:42
2015-04-30 12:00	Gravis	48.0%	44.0%	Clinton by 4.0%	2015-04-30 2015-04-30	2015-05-11 2015-05-12 06:27
2015-04-25 00:00	SurveyUSA	47.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 5.0%	2015-04-22 2015-04-27	2015-04-27 2015-05-01 03:55
2015-04-04 00:00	PPP	45.0%	45.0%	TIED	2015-04-02 2015-04-05	2015-04-10 2015-04-11 06:51
2015-02-25 12:00	PPP	47.0%	43.0%	Clinton by 4.0%	2015-02-24 2015-02-26	2015-03-04 2015-03-05 02:41
2014-09-13 00:00	PPP	48.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 8.0%	2014-09-11 2014-09-14	2014-09-16 2014-09-17 16:59
2014-08-16 00:00	PPP	47.0%	41.0%	Clinton by 6.0%	2014-08-14 2014-08-17	2014-08-20 2014-08-23 10:11
2014-01-11 00:00	PPP	47.0%	41.0%	Clinton by 6.0%	2014-01-09 2014-01-12	2014-01-16 2014-01-23 23:17
2013-12-07 00:00	PPP	49.0%	41.0%	Clinton by 8.0%	2013-12-05 2013-12-08	2013-12-12 2013-12-14 23:07
2013-11-10 00:00	PPP	51.0%	39.0%	Clinton by 12.0%	2013-11-08 2013-11-11	2013-11-13 2014-01-25 21:23
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	48.4%	50.4%	REP by 2.0%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-22 05:03
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	49.7%	49.4%	DEM by 0.3%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-09-30 03:36
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	43.6%	56.0%	REP by 12.4%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-14 06:58
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	43.2%	56.0%	REP by 12.8%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-10 10:38
1996-11-06 12:00	Election1996	44.0%	48.7%	REP by 4.7%	1996-11-06 1996-11-06	1996-11-06 2014-02-16 17:30
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	42.7%	43.4%	REP by 0.8%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 06:35
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	41.7%	58.0%	REP by 16.3%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 19:32
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	37.9%	61.9%	REP by 24.0%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-24 06:45
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	47.2%	49.3%	REP by 2.1%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 19:01

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

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