2016 Electoral College
Clinton vs Cruz - Iowa [6 EV]
Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-02-19 00:00 UTC
Last Poll Update: 2016-07-24 17:08 UTC
Post Mortem Analysis here
Nominees: Clinton vs Trump Best Polled: Clinton vs Trump Clinton vs Bush Clinton vs Cruz Clinton vs Rubio Clinton vs Huckabee || Comparison
Switch to Clinton vs Cruz National Summary
Poll Average
Polls Used in Average
Middate/Time Pollster Clinton Cruz Margin Start/End Released/Entered 2016-02-19 00:00
Morning Consult
43.9%
39.1%
Clinton
2016-01-01
2016-04-13
2016-01-09 12:00
PPP
42.0%
45.0%
Cruz
2016-01-08
2016-01-12
2016-01-05 00:00
Marist
43.0%
47.0%
Cruz
2016-01-02
2016-01-10
2015-12-12 00:00
PPP
44.0%
47.0%
Cruz
2015-12-10
2015-12-17
2015-10-31 12:00
PPP
46.0%
44.0%
Clinton
2015-10-30
2015-11-04
Older Polls
Middate/Time Pollster Clinton Cruz Margin Start/End Released/Entered 2015-09-19 12:00
PPP
43.0%
43.0%
TIED
2015-09-18
2015-09-25
2015-08-08 12:00
PPP
44.0%
42.0%
Clinton
2015-08-07
2015-08-11
2015-05-29 00:00
Gravis
46.0%
40.0%
Clinton
2015-05-28
2015-06-03
2015-04-25 00:00
PPP
49.0%
42.0%
Clinton
2015-04-23
2015-04-30
2015-04-13 12:00
Gravis
47.0%
40.0%
Clinton
2015-04-13
2015-04-21
2015-04-03 00:00
Quinnipiac
43.0%
40.0%
Clinton
2015-03-29
2015-04-09
2014-10-06 00:00
DMR
45.0%
35.0%
Clinton
2014-10-03
2014-10-11
2014-09-27 00:00
PPP
47.0%
39.0%
Clinton
2014-09-25
2014-09-30
2014-07-10 12:00
Marist
49.0%
37.0%
Clinton
2014-07-07
2014-07-17
2014-05-17 12:00
PPP
47.0%
40.0%
Clinton
2014-05-15
2014-05-22
2014-03-08 00:00
Quinnipiac
51.0%
35.0%
Clinton
2014-03-05
2014-03-13
2013-12-13 00:00
Quinnipiac
48.0%
41.0%
Clinton
2013-12-10
2013-12-17
2013-11-24 00:00
Harper
47.4%
40.5%
Clinton
2013-11-23
2013-11-26
2012-11-06 12:00
Election2012
52.0%
46.2%
DEM
2012-11-06
2012-11-06
2008-11-04 12:00
Election2008
53.9%
44.4%
DEM
2008-11-04
2008-11-04
2004-11-02 12:00
Election2004
49.2%
49.9%
REP
2004-11-02
2004-11-02
2000-11-07 12:00
Election2000
48.5%
48.2%
DEM
2000-11-07
2000-11-07
1996-11-06 12:00
Election1996
50.3%
39.9%
DEM
1996-11-06
1996-11-06
1992-11-03 12:00
Election1992
43.3%
37.3%
DEM
1992-11-03
1992-11-03
1988-11-08 12:00
Election1988
54.7%
44.5%
DEM
1988-11-08
1988-11-08
1984-11-06 12:00
Election1984
45.9%
53.3%
REP
1984-11-06
1984-11-06
1980-11-04 12:00
Election1980
38.6%
51.3%
REP
1980-11-04
1980-11-04
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2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ
If you find this site interesting or useful, please consider visiting the Tip Jar .
The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text
Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here .
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