2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Cruz - Florida [29 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-04-26 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-08-27 07:33 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:

Best Polled:

Democrat:

Republican:

State:

History Shown in Graph:

Switch to Clinton vs Cruz National Summary

Poll Average

Clinton		Cruz

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Cruz	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-04-26 12:00	AIF	48.0%	39.0%	Clinton by 9.0%	2016-04-25 2016-04-27	2016-05-01 2016-05-03 14:28
2016-03-15 12:00	St Leo	51.5%	34.0%	Clinton by 17.5%	2016-03-13 2016-03-17	2016-03-18 2016-08-27 05:36
2016-03-07 12:00	Marist	48.0%	43.0%	Clinton by 5.0%	2016-03-04 2016-03-10	2016-03-13 2016-03-14 02:58
2016-03-05 12:00	SurveyUSA	46.0%	44.0%	Clinton by 2.0%	2016-03-04 2016-03-06	2016-03-08 2016-03-09 00:05
2016-03-04 12:00	CNN	46.0%	47.0%	Cruz by 1.0%	2016-03-02 2016-03-06	2016-03-09 2016-03-11 06:50

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Cruz	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-02-25 00:00	PPP	47.0%	39.0%	Clinton by 8.0%	2016-02-24 2016-02-25	2016-02-25 2016-02-27 04:35
2016-02-19 00:00	Morning Consult	44.1%	40.3%	Clinton by 3.8%	2016-01-01 2016-04-07	2016-04-13 2016-07-24 04:46
2016-02-03 00:00	FSC	44.9%	41.7%	Clinton by 3.2%	2016-01-30 2016-02-06	2016-02-07 2016-08-27 07:33
2016-01-17 00:00	FAU	47.2%	42.3%	Clinton by 4.9%	2016-01-15 2016-01-18	2016-01-19 2016-01-21 08:28
2015-12-01 12:00	Saint Leo	53.0%	34.7%	Clinton by 18.3%	2015-11-29 2015-12-03	2015-12-10 2015-12-10 14:53
2015-11-16 00:00	FAU	44.9%	47.9%	Cruz by 3.0%	2015-11-15 2015-11-16	2015-11-18 2015-11-22 13:40
2015-09-12 12:00	PPP	45.0%	43.0%	Clinton by 2.0%	2015-09-11 2015-09-13	2015-09-15 2015-09-16 08:00
2015-06-10 00:00	Quinnipiac	48.0%	37.0%	Clinton by 11.0%	2015-06-04 2015-06-15	2015-06-17 2015-06-20 16:03
2015-03-23 00:00	Quinnipiac	48.0%	39.0%	Clinton by 9.0%	2015-03-17 2015-03-28	2015-03-31 2015-04-01 03:43
2015-03-21 00:00	PPP	49.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 7.0%	2015-03-19 2015-03-22	2015-03-24 2015-03-24 17:35
2014-12-01 12:00	Saint Leo	51.0%	28.0%	Clinton by 23.0%	2014-11-25 2014-12-07	2014-12-10 2014-12-12 04:48
2014-09-06 00:00	PPP	51.0%	36.0%	Clinton by 15.0%	2014-09-04 2014-09-07	2014-09-09 2014-09-10 02:42
2014-06-08 00:00	PPP	50.0%	39.0%	Clinton by 11.0%	2014-06-06 2014-06-09	2014-06-11 2014-06-12 23:33
2014-04-26 00:00	Quinnipiac	57.0%	31.0%	Clinton by 26.0%	2014-04-23 2014-04-28	2014-05-01 2014-05-01 22:10
2014-02-09 12:00	Quinnipiac	54.0%	34.0%	Clinton by 20.0%	2014-01-22 2014-02-27	2014-01-31 2014-03-02 09:46
2013-11-15 00:00	Quinnipiac	52.0%	36.0%	Clinton by 16.0%	2013-11-12 2013-11-17	2013-11-22 2013-12-20 02:17
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	50.0%	49.1%	DEM by 0.9%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-22 02:08
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	51.0%	48.2%	DEM by 2.8%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-09-22 10:48
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	47.1%	52.1%	REP by 5.0%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-14 01:26
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	48.8%	48.9%	REP by 0.0%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-09 05:52
1996-11-06 12:00	Election1996	48.0%	42.3%	DEM by 5.7%	1996-11-06 1996-11-06	1996-11-06 2014-02-16 08:31
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	39.0%	40.9%	REP by 1.9%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 02:16
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	38.5%	60.9%	REP by 22.4%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 05:14
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	34.7%	65.3%	REP by 30.7%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-21 07:24
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	38.5%	55.5%	REP by 17.0%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 17:24

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

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If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com

2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

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