2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Christie - Virginia [13 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2015-10-04 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2015-10-15 05:19 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:

Best Polled:

Democrat:

Republican:

State:

History Shown in Graph:

Switch to Clinton vs Christie National Summary

Poll Average

Clinton		Christie

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Christie	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2015-10-04 00:00	CNU	42.0%	47.0%	Christie by 5.0%	2015-09-29 2015-10-08	2015-10-12 2015-10-15 05:19
2015-07-14 12:00	PPP	45.0%	39.0%	Clinton by 6.0%	2015-07-13 2015-07-15	2015-07-16 2015-07-20 13:42
2015-04-19 00:00	CNU	47.0%	45.0%	Clinton by 2.0%	2015-04-13 2015-04-24	2015-04-27 2015-05-01 05:06
2015-04-03 00:00	Quinnipiac	46.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 6.0%	2015-03-29 2015-04-07	2015-04-09 2015-04-10 05:23
2015-02-10 12:00	Quinnipiac	44.0%	39.0%	Clinton by 5.0%	2015-02-05 2015-02-15	2015-02-18 2015-02-19 11:54

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Christie	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2015-02-05 00:00	CNU	49.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 7.0%	2015-01-30 2015-02-10	2015-02-12 2015-02-13 08:00
2014-09-16 12:00	Roanoke	47.0%	37.0%	Clinton by 10.0%	2014-09-13 2014-09-19	2014-09-24 2014-09-25 19:04
2014-07-17 00:00	Roanoke	44.0%	34.0%	Clinton by 10.0%	2014-07-14 2014-07-19	2014-07-19 2014-07-31 02:31
2014-03-22 00:00	Quinnipiac	45.0%	41.0%	Clinton by 4.0%	2014-03-19 2014-03-24	2014-03-27 2014-03-28 07:22
2014-02-26 00:00	CNU	43.0%	41.0%	Clinton by 2.0%	2014-02-23 2014-02-28	2014-03-03 2014-03-16 07:39
2014-02-25 12:00	Roanoke	48.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 8.0%	2014-02-22 2014-02-28	2014-03-04 2014-03-16 08:26
2013-11-20 00:00	WFB	42.0%	44.0%	Christie by 2.0%	2013-11-19 2013-11-20	2013-11-20 2014-05-19 21:50
2013-09-16 00:00	Harper	41.0%	41.0%	TIED	2013-09-15 2013-09-16	2013-09-17 2014-01-25 21:51
2013-09-12 12:00	Quinnipiac	42.0%	41.0%	Clinton by 1.0%	2013-09-09 2013-09-15	2013-09-19 2014-01-25 22:02
2013-09-08 12:00	Purple	42.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 2.0%	2013-09-06 2013-09-10	2013-09-13 2014-01-25 22:00
2013-08-17 00:00	Quinnipiac	46.0%	37.0%	Clinton by 9.0%	2013-08-14 2013-08-19	2013-08-22 2013-11-10 13:22
2013-07-13 12:00	Quinnipiac	45.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 5.0%	2013-07-11 2013-07-15	2013-07-17 2013-08-07 16:36
2013-07-13 00:00	PPP	42.0%	41.0%	Clinton by 1.0%	2013-07-11 2013-07-14	2013-07-19 2013-07-23 22:14
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	51.2%	47.3%	DEM by 3.9%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-22 05:16
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	52.6%	46.3%	DEM by 6.3%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-10-06 03:17
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	45.5%	53.7%	REP by 8.2%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-14 07:15
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	44.4%	52.5%	REP by 8.0%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-10 11:10
1996-11-06 12:00	Election1996	45.2%	47.1%	REP by 2.0%	1996-11-06 1996-11-06	1996-11-06 2014-02-18 15:48
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	40.6%	45.0%	REP by 4.4%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 07:04
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	39.2%	59.7%	REP by 20.5%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 20:06
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	37.1%	62.3%	REP by 25.2%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-24 07:41
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	40.3%	53.0%	REP by 12.7%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 19:28

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

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