2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Christie - New Jersey [14 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2015-07-01 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2015-07-05 16:26 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:

Best Polled:

Democrat:

Republican:

State:

History Shown in Graph:

Switch to Clinton vs Christie National Summary

Poll Average

Clinton		Christie

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Christie	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2015-07-01 00:00	Monmouth	49.0%	32.0%	Clinton by 17.0%	2015-06-30 2015-07-01	2015-07-02 2015-07-05 16:26
2015-05-02 12:00	Monmouth	53.0%	29.0%	Clinton by 24.0%	2015-05-01 2015-05-03	2015-05-06 2015-05-08 03:13
2015-04-12 00:00	Quinnipiac	51.0%	36.0%	Clinton by 15.0%	2015-04-09 2015-04-14	2015-04-20 2015-04-21 14:32
2015-02-07 00:00	Rutgers	58.0%	35.0%	Clinton by 23.0%	2015-02-03 2015-02-10	2015-02-17 2015-02-17 14:06
2015-01-17 12:00	Quinnipiac	52.0%	39.0%	Clinton by 13.0%	2015-01-15 2015-01-19	2015-01-22 2015-01-23 05:48

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Christie	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2014-12-07 00:00	Rutgers	49.0%	39.0%	Clinton by 10.0%	2014-12-03 2014-12-10	2014-12-22 2014-12-23 08:03
2014-12-06 00:00	Quinnipiac	50.0%	39.0%	Clinton by 11.0%	2014-12-03 2014-12-08	2014-12-11 2014-12-12 02:52
2014-09-27 12:00	Quinnipiac	50.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 10.0%	2014-09-25 2014-09-29	2014-10-01 2014-10-02 01:28
2014-09-04 12:00	Fairleigh Dickinson	45.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 3.0%	2014-09-01 2014-09-07	2014-09-09 2014-09-10 02:01
2014-08-02 12:00	Quinnipiac	50.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 8.0%	2014-07-31 2014-08-04	2014-08-06 2014-08-07 05:18
2014-08-01 12:00	Rutgers	51.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 11.0%	2014-07-28 2014-08-05	2014-08-07 2014-08-23 10:49
2014-02-25 12:00	Rutgers	51.0%	41.0%	Clinton by 10.0%	2014-02-22 2014-02-28	2014-03-04 2014-03-16 08:32
2014-01-17 00:00	Rutgers	55.0%	34.0%	Clinton by 21.0%	2014-01-14 2014-01-19	2014-01-22 2014-05-09 21:48
2013-12-06 12:00	Monmouth	43.0%	46.0%	Christie by 3.0%	2013-12-04 2013-12-08	2013-12-11 2013-12-14 23:37
2013-11-05 12:00	NJExit	48.0%	44.0%	Clinton by 4.0%	2013-11-05 2013-11-05	2013-11-05 2013-11-10 12:16
2013-02-15 12:00	Quinnipiac	49.0%	45.0%	Clinton by 4.0%	2013-02-13 2013-02-17	2013-02-20 2014-08-07 05:30
2012-11-27 12:00	PPP	52.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 12.0%	2012-11-26 2012-11-28	2012-11-30 2013-01-23 21:11
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	58.4%	40.6%	DEM by 17.8%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-22 02:48
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	57.3%	41.7%	DEM by 15.6%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-09-30 03:32
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	52.9%	46.2%	DEM by 6.7%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-14 06:54
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	56.1%	40.3%	DEM by 15.8%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-10 10:30
1996-11-06 12:00	Election1996	53.7%	35.9%	DEM by 17.9%	1996-11-06 1996-11-06	1996-11-06 2014-02-16 17:06
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	43.0%	40.6%	DEM by 2.4%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 06:23
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	42.6%	56.2%	REP by 13.6%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 19:24
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	39.2%	60.1%	REP by 20.9%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-24 06:37
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	38.6%	52.0%	REP by 13.4%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 18:55

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

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2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

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