2016 Electoral College
Clinton vs Bush - Pennsylvania [20 EV]
Most Recent Poll (middate): 2015-10-10 00:00 UTC
Last Poll Update: 2015-10-16 07:48 UTC
Post Mortem Analysis here
Nominees: Clinton vs Trump Best Polled: Clinton vs Trump Clinton vs Bush Clinton vs Cruz Clinton vs Rubio Clinton vs Huckabee || Comparison
Switch to Clinton vs Bush National Summary
Poll Average
Polls Used in Average
Middate/Time Pollster Clinton Bush Margin Start/End Released/Entered 2015-10-10 00:00
PPP
45.0%
40.0%
Clinton
2015-10-08
2015-10-15
2015-09-30 12:00
Quinnipiac
40.0%
46.0%
Bush
2015-09-25
2015-10-07
2015-08-13 00:00
Quinnipiac
40.0%
43.0%
Bush
2015-08-07
2015-08-20
2015-06-10 00:00
Quinnipiac
45.0%
41.0%
Clinton
2015-06-04
2015-06-17
2015-05-23 00:00
PPP
49.0%
38.0%
Clinton
2015-05-21
2015-05-28
Older Polls
Middate/Time Pollster Clinton Bush Margin Start/End Released/Entered 2015-03-23 00:00
Quinnipiac
46.0%
40.0%
Clinton
2015-03-17
2015-03-31
2015-01-27 12:00
Quinnipiac
50.0%
35.0%
Clinton
2015-01-22
2015-02-03
2015-01-17 00:00
PPP
49.0%
38.0%
Clinton
2015-01-15
2015-01-22
2014-05-31 12:00
PPP
51.0%
37.0%
Clinton
2014-05-30
2014-06-05
2014-05-31 12:00
Quinnipiac
51.0%
35.0%
Clinton
2014-05-29
2014-06-04
2014-02-22 00:00
Quinnipiac
53.0%
36.0%
Clinton
2014-02-19
2014-02-27
2013-12-14 00:00
Quinnipiac
52.0%
36.0%
Clinton
2013-12-11
2013-12-19
2013-11-24 00:00
PPP
48.0%
44.0%
Clinton
2013-11-22
2013-11-27
2012-11-06 12:00
Election2012
52.0%
46.6%
DEM
2012-11-06
2012-11-06
2008-11-04 12:00
Election2008
54.5%
44.2%
DEM
2008-11-04
2008-11-04
2004-11-02 12:00
Election2004
50.9%
48.4%
DEM
2004-11-02
2004-11-02
2000-11-07 12:00
Election2000
50.6%
46.4%
DEM
2000-11-07
2000-11-07
1996-11-06 12:00
Election1996
49.2%
40.0%
DEM
1996-11-06
1996-11-06
1992-11-03 12:00
Election1992
45.2%
36.1%
DEM
1992-11-03
1992-11-03
1988-11-08 12:00
Election1988
48.4%
50.7%
REP
1988-11-08
1988-11-08
1984-11-06 12:00
Election1984
46.0%
53.3%
REP
1984-11-06
1984-11-06
1980-11-04 12:00
Election1980
42.5%
49.6%
REP
1980-11-04
1980-11-04
Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races .
Like Election Graphs on Facebook, follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter, or read the Election 2016 blog posts for commentary and analysis when there are significant changes to this data.
For a feed of all poll updates follow @ElecCollPolls on Twitter. For more discussion of Election 2016 and other topics, listen to the Curmudgeon's Corner podcast.
If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com
2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ
If you find this site interesting or useful, please consider visiting the Tip Jar .
The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text
Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here .
Page cached at 2019-03-05 01:20:44 UTC
Original calculation time was 0.615 seconds