2016 Electoral College
Clinton vs Bush - Ohio [18 EV]
Most Recent Poll (middate): 2015-09-30 12:00 UTC
Last Poll Update: 2015-10-08 03:19 UTC
Post Mortem Analysis here
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Switch to Clinton vs Bush National Summary
Poll Average
Polls Used in Average
Middate/Time Pollster Clinton Bush Margin Start/End Released/Entered 2015-09-30 12:00
Quinnipiac
41.0%
43.0%
Bush
2015-09-25
2015-10-07
2015-08-13 00:00
Quinnipiac
41.0%
39.0%
Clinton
2015-08-07
2015-08-20
2015-06-10 00:00
Quinnipiac
42.0%
41.0%
Clinton
2015-06-04
2015-06-17
2015-06-06 00:00
PPP
45.0%
43.0%
Clinton
2015-06-04
2015-06-10
2015-03-23 00:00
Quinnipiac
47.0%
38.0%
Clinton
2015-03-17
2015-03-31
Older Polls
Middate/Time Pollster Clinton Bush Margin Start/End Released/Entered 2015-03-03 00:00
PPP
45.0%
40.0%
Clinton
2015-03-02
2015-03-05
2015-01-27 12:00
Quinnipiac
47.0%
36.0%
Clinton
2015-01-22
2015-02-03
2014-10-29 12:00
Fox
48.0%
38.0%
Clinton
2014-10-28
2014-10-30
2014-07-26 12:00
Quinnipiac
48.0%
37.0%
Clinton
2014-07-24
2014-07-31
2014-05-10 00:00
Quinnipiac
48.0%
39.0%
Clinton
2014-05-07
2014-05-15
2014-02-15 00:00
Quinnipiac
51.0%
36.0%
Clinton
2014-02-12
2014-02-20
2013-11-22 00:00
Quinnipiac
50.0%
37.0%
Clinton
2013-11-19
2013-11-27
2013-08-18 00:00
PPP
50.0%
36.0%
Clinton
2013-08-16
2013-08-22
2012-11-06 12:00
Election2012
50.7%
47.7%
DEM
2012-11-06
2012-11-06
2008-11-04 12:00
Election2008
51.5%
46.9%
DEM
2008-11-04
2008-11-04
2004-11-02 12:00
Election2004
48.7%
50.8%
REP
2004-11-02
2004-11-02
2000-11-07 12:00
Election2000
46.5%
50.0%
REP
2000-11-07
2000-11-07
1996-11-06 12:00
Election1996
47.4%
41.0%
DEM
1996-11-06
1996-11-06
1992-11-03 12:00
Election1992
40.2%
38.4%
DEM
1992-11-03
1992-11-03
1988-11-08 12:00
Election1988
44.2%
55.0%
REP
1988-11-08
1988-11-08
1984-11-06 12:00
Election1984
40.1%
58.9%
REP
1984-11-06
1984-11-06
1980-11-04 12:00
Election1980
40.9%
51.5%
REP
1980-11-04
1980-11-04
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2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ
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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text
Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here .
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