2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Bush - Florida [29 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-02-03 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-08-27 07:37 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:

Best Polled:

Democrat:

Republican:

State:

History Shown in Graph:

Switch to Clinton vs Bush National Summary

Poll Average

Clinton		Bush

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Bush	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-02-03 00:00	FSC	41.7%	45.0%	Bush by 3.3%	2016-01-30 2016-02-06	2016-02-07 2016-08-27 07:37
2016-01-17 00:00	FAU	41.5%	45.0%	Bush by 3.5%	2016-01-15 2016-01-18	2016-01-19 2016-01-21 08:04
2015-12-01 12:00	Saint Leo	47.3%	37.9%	Clinton by 9.4%	2015-11-29 2015-12-03	2015-12-10 2015-12-10 14:49
2015-11-16 00:00	FAU	39.8%	44.4%	Bush by 4.6%	2015-11-15 2015-11-16	2015-11-18 2015-11-22 11:52
2015-10-30 12:00	SurveyUSA	46.0%	44.0%	Clinton by 2.0%	2015-10-28 2015-11-01	2015-11-03 2015-11-05 08:20

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Bush	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2015-09-30 12:00	Quinnipiac	43.0%	44.0%	Bush by 1.0%	2015-09-25 2015-10-05	2015-10-07 2015-10-08 03:11
2015-09-19 00:00	FAU	40.9%	49.1%	Bush by 8.2%	2015-09-17 2015-09-20	2015-09-22 2015-09-23 02:09
2015-09-18 12:00	Florida Chamber	37.0%	48.0%	Bush by 11.0%	2015-09-16 2015-09-20	2015-09-29 2015-10-02 07:27
2015-09-12 12:00	PPP	42.0%	45.0%	Bush by 3.0%	2015-09-11 2015-09-13	2015-09-15 2015-09-16 07:31
2015-08-13 00:00	Quinnipiac	38.0%	49.0%	Bush by 11.0%	2015-08-07 2015-08-18	2015-08-20 2015-08-21 05:16
2015-06-10 00:00	Quinnipiac	46.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 4.0%	2015-06-04 2015-06-15	2015-06-17 2015-06-20 15:31
2015-04-15 12:00	Mason-Dixon	43.0%	47.0%	Bush by 4.0%	2015-04-14 2015-04-16	2015-04-20 2015-04-21 14:20
2015-03-23 00:00	Quinnipiac	42.0%	45.0%	Bush by 3.0%	2015-03-17 2015-03-28	2015-03-31 2015-04-01 03:25
2015-03-21 00:00	PPP	47.0%	44.0%	Clinton by 3.0%	2015-03-19 2015-03-22	2015-03-24 2015-03-24 17:29
2015-03-18 12:00	Saint Leo	47.0%	44.0%	Clinton by 3.0%	2015-03-15 2015-03-21	2015-03-26 2015-04-01 05:14
2015-01-28 12:00	Mason-Dixon	42.0%	47.0%	Bush by 5.0%	2015-01-27 2015-01-29	2015-02-06 2015-02-07 16:44
2015-01-27 12:00	Quinnipiac	44.0%	43.0%	Clinton by 1.0%	2015-01-22 2015-02-01	2015-02-03 2015-02-04 05:48
2014-12-01 12:00	Saint Leo	42.0%	43.0%	Bush by 1.0%	2014-11-25 2014-12-07	2014-12-10 2014-12-12 04:38
2014-10-23 12:00	Gravis	45.0%	46.0%	Bush by 1.0%	2014-10-22 2014-10-24	2014-10-26 2014-11-01 07:04
2014-10-12 00:00	Gravis	37.0%	36.0%	Clinton by 1.0%	2014-10-11 2014-10-12	2014-10-13 2014-10-14 21:43
2014-09-06 00:00	PPP	46.0%	44.0%	Clinton by 2.0%	2014-09-04 2014-09-07	2014-09-09 2014-09-10 02:30
2014-08-19 12:00	Gravis	39.0%	37.0%	Clinton by 2.0%	2014-08-14 2014-08-24	2014-08-29 2014-10-14 20:20
2014-07-19 12:00	Quinnipiac	49.0%	42.0%	Clinton by 7.0%	2014-07-17 2014-07-21	2014-07-24 2014-07-25 00:52
2014-06-08 00:00	SurveyUSA	47.0%	41.0%	Clinton by 6.0%	2014-06-05 2014-06-10	2014-06-10 2014-06-12 23:55
2014-06-08 00:00	PPP	46.0%	45.0%	Clinton by 1.0%	2014-06-06 2014-06-09	2014-06-11 2014-06-12 22:49
2014-04-26 00:00	Quinnipiac	49.0%	41.0%	Clinton by 8.0%	2014-04-23 2014-04-28	2014-05-01 2014-05-01 21:47
2014-01-25 00:00	Quinnipiac	49.0%	43.0%	Clinton by 6.0%	2014-01-22 2014-01-27	2014-01-31 2014-03-02 09:38
2013-11-15 00:00	Quinnipiac	47.0%	45.0%	Clinton by 2.0%	2013-11-12 2013-11-17	2013-11-22 2013-12-20 02:03
2013-06-14 00:00	Quinnipiac	50.0%	43.0%	Clinton by 7.0%	2013-06-11 2013-06-16	2013-06-19 2013-08-07 00:43
2013-03-17 00:00	PPP	53.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 13.0%	2013-03-15 2013-03-18	2013-03-21 2013-08-07 00:40
2013-03-16 00:00	Quinnipiac	51.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 11.0%	2013-03-13 2013-03-18	2013-03-21 2013-03-22 22:54
2013-01-12 12:00	PPP	49.0%	44.0%	Clinton by 5.0%	2013-01-11 2013-01-13	2013-01-17 2013-01-23 20:13
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	50.0%	49.1%	DEM by 0.9%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-22 02:08
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	51.0%	48.2%	DEM by 2.8%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-09-22 10:48
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	47.1%	52.1%	REP by 5.0%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-14 01:26
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	48.8%	48.9%	REP by 0.0%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-09 05:52
1996-11-06 12:00	Election1996	48.0%	42.3%	DEM by 5.7%	1996-11-06 1996-11-06	1996-11-06 2014-02-16 08:31
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	39.0%	40.9%	REP by 1.9%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 02:16
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	38.5%	60.9%	REP by 22.4%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 05:14
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	34.7%	65.3%	REP by 30.7%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-21 07:24
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	38.5%	55.5%	REP by 17.0%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 17:24

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

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